Trends in landings and vulnerability to climate change in different fleet components in the Portuguese coast

Portugal is the third highest per capita consumer of fish in the world, with a fishing fleet consisting of trawlers, purse-seiners and multi-gear vessels, which use a wide variety of fishing gears, such as gillnets, trammel nets, longlines or traps. Climate change affects ocean conditions, impacting marine organisms and ecosystems, with consequences for marine fisheries. The consequences of climate change on fishing communities will depend on their exposure to this factor, the sensitivity of target species and ecosystems to climate change and fishermen’s ability to adapt to climate change. The Portuguese coast is mainly north-south oriented and located in a biogeographic transition zone, between temperate and subtropical waters, where the northern or southern distribution limits of several species can be found. Also, the Portuguese coast is expected to suffer changes in temperature and precipitation more accelerated than the global mean alteration rate, which makes it particularly adequate for studies of the effect of climate change on coastal communities and fisheries. The present study analysed trends in landings of the most important fishing métiers in the Portuguese coast and the vulnerability and adaptation capacity of Portuguese fisheries to climate change. Official Portuguese landings (1992–2012) were analysed and a survey was conducted to assess fishermen’s perception of landings and their potential behaviour in response to the effects of climate change on fisheries. Eighteen new species were landed in Portuguese fisheries over the past 5 years, of which 12 were tropical or subtropical and 5 had their distribution limit along the Portuguese coast. A latitudinal pattern in the number of new species in landings was found, agreeing with a northward shift of subtropical species. The south coast has shown a higher vulnerability to climate change, in terms of both exposure and sensitivity of target species and ecosystems to its effects. Trawlermen may be more adaptable and less vulnerable to climate change, given the high mobility of their fleet. Multi-gear fisheries may be more flexible in changing target species or fishing gear, which makes them potentially less vulnerable to climate change. On the other hand, the high sensitivity of sardine to the effects of climate change makes the purse-seine fisheries particularly vulnerable to climate change.