Global ammonia emissions from synthetic nitrogen fertilizer applications in agricultural systems: Empirical and process‐based estimates and uncertainty
2019
Xu, Rongting | Tian, Hanqin | Pan, Shufen | Prior, Stephen A. | Feng, Yucheng | Batchelor, William D. | Chen, Jian | Yang, Jia
Excessive ammonia (NH₃) emitted from nitrogen (N) fertilizer applications in global croplands plays an important role in atmospheric aerosol production, resulting in visibility reduction and regional haze. However, large uncertainty exists in the estimates of NH₃ emissions from global and regional croplands, which utilize different data and methods. In this study, we have coupled a process‐based Dynamic Land Ecosystem Model (DLEM) with the bidirectional NH₃ exchange module in the Community Multiscale Air‐Quality (CMAQ) model (DLEM‐Bi‐NH₃) to quantify NH₃ emissions at the global and regional scale, and crop‐specific NH₃ emissions globally at a spatial resolution of 0.5° × 0.5° during 1961–2010. Results indicate that global NH₃ emissions from N fertilizer use have increased from 1.9 ± 0.03 to 16.7 ± 0.5 Tg N/year between 1961 and 2010. The annual increase of NH₃ emissions shows large spatial variations across the global land surface. Southern Asia, including China and India, has accounted for more than 50% of total global NH₃ emissions since the 1980s, followed by North America and Europe. Rice cultivation has been the largest contributor to total global NH₃ emissions since the 1990s, followed by corn and wheat. In addition, results show that empirical methods without considering environmental factors (constant emission factor in the IPCC Tier 1 guideline) could underestimate NH₃ emissions in context of climate change, with the highest difference (i.e., 6.9 Tg N/year) occurring in 2010. This study provides a robust estimate on global and regional NH₃ emissions over the past 50 years, which offers a reference for assessing air quality consequences of future nitrogen enrichment as well as nitrogen use efficiency improvement.
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