Modeling the influences of plant infection rate and temperature on potato foliage and yield losses caused by Verticillium dahliae
Johnson, K.B.
A simple submodel was coupled to a dynamic potato growth simulation model to quantitatively describe the effects of Verticillium dahliae infection on loss of crop leaf area and tuber yield. This was accomplished by accelerating the leaf tissue aging rate as a function V. dahliae incidence in stems and high-temperature stress. A Gompertz equation was used to describe the temporal incidence of V. dahliae in potato stems, and the effects of temperature were described by a linear deviation of the daily mean above 17C. Values for the model's parameters were determined from sequential, within-season harvests of crop biomass and V. dahliae incidence data from five inoculated crops of Russet Burbank potato grown in three seasons. Among experiments, modeled final tuber yield, area under the tuber dry matter accumulation curve, and area under the leaf area index curve were correlated with the observed values. In two crops with similar infection rates, modeled and observed yield loss was 4.6 and 6.5%, respectively, when conditions were relatively cool (mean temperature = 20.0 C) and 17 and 15%, respectively, when conditions were warmer (mean temperature = 23.3 C). In simulation analyses, the model indicated that mean air temperature after infection, the proportion of individual stems infected by V. dahliae, and timing of infection are important considerations for interpreting yield losses caused by this pathogen.
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