Evolution of Rainfall Characteristics in Catalonia, Spain, Using a Moving-Window Approach (1950–2022)
2025
Carina Serra | María del Carmen Casas-Castillo | Raül Rodríguez-Solà | Cristina Periago
A comprehensive analysis of the evolution of rainfall characteristics in Catalonia, NE Spain, was conducted using monthly data from 72 rain gauges over the period 1950&ndash:2022. A moving-window approach was applied at annual, seasonal, and monthly scales, calculating mean values, coefficients of variation (CV), and trends across 43 overlapping 31-year periods. To assess trends in these moving statistics, a modified Mann&ndash:Kendall test was applied to both the 31-year means and CVs. Results revealed a significant 10% decrease in annual rainfall, with summer showing the most pronounced decline, as nearly 90% of stations exhibited negative trends, while the CV showed negative trends in coastal areas and mostly positive trends inland. At the monthly scale, February, March, June, August, and December exhibited negative trends at more than 50% of stations, with rainfall reductions ranging from 20% to 30%. Additionally, the temporal evolution of Mann&ndash:Kendall trend coefficients within each 31-year moving window displayed a fourth-degree polynomial pattern, with a periodicity of 30&ndash:35 years at annual and seasonal scales, and for some months. Finally, at the annual scale and in two centennial series, the 80-year oscillations found were inversely correlated with the large-scale climate indices North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) and Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO).
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