Forecasting vehicle fleets in Sub-Saharan african Countries
Archondo- Callao, Rodrigo
The technical note presents an evaluation of time series for vehicle fleet statistics, available in the Road Management Initiative (RMI) road sector database, and quantifies their relationship with the growth of each country's gross national product. Its ultimate goal is to provide for a statistical methodology to assist sector analysis in projecting country vehicle fleets, as a function of available macroeconomic forecasts. Assessing the growth in vehicle fleets in Sub-Saharan African countries remains an important requirement to property plan road expenditures, and adequately assess revenue raising requirements, and instruments.
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