Determinants of the world's demand on some Egyptian horticultural exports.

Export development subject had growing concerns for Egyptian economic policy particularly in recent years in order to overcome the deficit in the balance of trade, which increased from about $ 8.1 million is during the average period (1990-1999) to about $ 10.9 million in average during the period (2000-2009). Contributes to the agricultural trade balance deficit in this disorder was equivalent to 13.8% during the period (2000-2009) because Egypt is a net agricultural importer with a value of almost $ 1.5 million. In addition, the value of agricultural exports accounted to about 10.7% of the value of total exports, amounting to about $ ll.8 million average for the same period. Therefore any attempt aimed to increase in Egyptian exports to contribute to the achievement of development goals and building a strong national economy that supports Egypts role globally. The problem of the study was low in the Egyptian exports of agricultural products in general. Horticultural crops, in particular compared to the available productive energies, decreased its share of agricultural exports from total exports of about 13% average for the period (1990-1999) to about 10.7% average for the period (2000-2009), in spite of the increasing global demand. this means that the Egyptian exports of which are growing at rates hoped for and threatens the development of Egyptian exports of those crops if not kept pace with export of Egyptian agricultural products global counterparts. It is the objective of the present study, therefore, to identify the most important determinants of exports of horticultural crops in global markets. the study has also used descriptive and quantitative methods such as simple linear regression and multiple stepwise, and Piecewise liner Regression the study data has been derived from the concerned authorities and all bodies and ministries, also used global databases of the Internet of each of the Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO) and the United Nations (UN)in addition to the raw data from the results of a questionnaire were obtained from some companies in the field of export. The study contains seven chapters in addition to summaries indices and references The first chapter reviews previous studies. related to the field study and theoretical framework. the second has addressed chapter the Current status of horticultural crops worldwide, through the study of the global market for the most important horticultural Egyptian crops, which helps to identify and select the crops of the study, The third chapter Economic analysis of the production, consumption and marketing of crops, while the fourth chapter analyses Foreign Trade, total agricultural and exports of crops of the study, study guide and the seasonal monthly Egypts exports of crops. The fifth chapter also addressed the geographical distribution of export crops to study the most important import markets, and the future of Egyptian exports of the crops in the study, in addition to the measurement and of determinants indicators of competitiveness in the foreign market, using the model of the determinants of competitiveness the sixth chapter studies determinants of foreign demand for exports of horticultural crops of Egypt in the global markets, through the study of seasonal monthly demand and demand functions outside of crops to study in the global market, Finally seventh chapter surveys a field of some of the determinants and constraints of export Egyptian horticultural crops from the perspective of issuers these crops. The main results of the study shows the most important factors in world demand for Egyptian exports of horticultural crops compound to the most global markets during the study period, the results determined the average export price of Egypt in dollars, and the average export price of the States competition to Egypt in the foreign market in dollars, and the average exchange rate of the pound in dollars, and the average annual per capita income in dollars for importing countries.