Climate changes in Republika Srpska and the potential impact n forest ecosystems
2012
Trbić, Goran (Faculty of Natural Sciences and Mathematics, Banja Luka (Bosnia and Herzegovina)) | Govedar, Zoran (Faculty of Forestry, Banja Luka (Bosnia and Herzegovina)) | Krstić, Milun (Faculty of Forestry, Belgrade (Serbia)) | Bjelanović, Ivan (Faculty of Forestry, Belgrade (Serbia)) | Keren, Srđan (Faculty of Forestry, Banja Luka (Bosnia and Herzegovina))
The paper presents alterations of air temperature and precipitation that result in climate changes in Republika Srpska. The assessment of variability and climate changes is provided based on the analisys of climate data that originated from 22 meteorological stations. The alterations of air temperature and precipitation are provided on the basis of comparative results for 1981-2010 and 1961-1990 periods consecutively. The potential impact is determined according to the regional climate model devised for the purpose of Second National Conference of Bosnia and Herzegovina with reference to the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (SNC BiH UNFCCC). The potential climate changes were analized in compliance with A1B and A2 scenarios along with their potential impact on forest ecosystems in Republika Srpska. A1B scenario was characterised as ''medium'' and A2 as a ''high'' scenario. The results indicated the evident climate changes on Republika Srpska territory but the fact remains that those alterations are mostly regional. The changes in air temperature and pluviometric regime caused the increase of draught intenisty and frequency, which should further be the basis of any plan or strategy for forest ecosystem adaptation to climate changes in Republika Srpska.
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