Hydraulic head and groundwater 111Cd content interpolations using empirical Bayesian kriging (EBK) and geo-adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (geo-ANFIS)
2017
Sağir, Çağdaş(University of Poitiers Institute of Chemistry of Poitiers: Materials and Natural Resources ,Muzla Sitki Koçman University, Geological Engineering Department, Kötekli Campus) | Kurtuluş, Bedri(Muzla Sitki Koçman University, Geological Engineering Department, Kötekli Campus)
In this study, hydraulic head and 111Cd interpolations based on the geo-adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (Geo-ANFIS) and empirical Bayesian kriging (EBK) were performed for the alluvium unit of Karabağlar Polje in Muğla, Turkey. Hydraulic head measurements and 111Cd analyses were done for 42 water wells during a snapshot campaign in April 2013. The main objective of this study was to compare Geo-ANFIS and EBK to interpolate hydraulic head and 111Cd content of groundwater. Both models were applied on the same case study: alluvium of Karabağlar Polje, which covers an area of 25 km² in Muğla basin, in the southwest of Turkey. The ANFIS method (called ANFIS XY) uses two reduced centred pre-processed inputs, which are cartesian coordinates (XY). Geo-ANFIS is tested on a 100-random-data subset of 8 data among 42, with the remaining data used to train and validate the models. ANFIS XY and EBK were then used to interpolate hydraulic head and heavy metal distribution, on a 50 m² grid covering the study area for ANFIS XY, while a 100 m² grid was used for EBK. Both EBK- and ANFIS XY-simulated hydraulic head and 111Cd distributions exhibit realistic patterns, with RMSE < 9 m and RMSE < 8 µg/L, respectively. In conclusion, EBK can be considered as a better interpolation method than ANFIS XY for both parameters.
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