Long-term effects of selection based on the animal model BLUP in a finite population

Monte Carlo simulation was used to assess the long-term effects of truncation selection within small populations using indices combin- ing mid-parent and Mendelian-sampling (m = a - f) evaluations provided by an animal model BLUP. Phenotypic values of panmictic populations were generated for 30 discrete generations. Assuming a purely additive polygenic model, heritability values were 0.10, 0.25 or 0.50. Two population sizes were considered: five males and 25 females selected out of 50 candidates of each sex (small populations, S) and 50 males and 250 females selected out of 500 candidates in each sex (large populations, L). Selection was carried out on the index defined above with omega = 1 (animal model BLUP), omega = 0,5, or omega = O (selection on within-family deviations). Mass selection was also considered. Selection based on the animal model BLUP (omega = 1) maximized the cumulative genetic gain in L. populations. In S populations, selection using omega = 0,5 and mass selection were more efficient than selection under an animal model (3 to 7% and 1 to 4% respectively, depending on hours). Selection on within-family deviations always led to the lowest gains. In most cases, the variance of response to selection between replicate did not depend on the selection method. The within-replicate genetic variance and the average coefficient of inbreeding (F) were highly affected by selection with omega = 1 or 0,5, especially in populations of size S. As expected, selection based on within-family deviations waless detrimental in that respect. The number ot copies of founder neutral genes at a separate locus, and the probability vector of origiof the genes in reference to the founder animals, were also observed iaddition to F values. The conclusion was that selection procedures placing less emphasis on family information might be interesting.