Remote sensing and machine learning based framework for the assessment of spatio-temporal water quality in the Middle Ganga Basin

Understanding the dynamics of water quality in any water body is vital for the sustainability of our water resources. Thus, investigating spatio-temporal changes of dominant water quality parameters (WQPs) in any study is indeed critical for proposing the appropriate treatment for the water bodies. Traditionally, concentrations of WQPs have been measured through intensive fieldwork. Additionally, many studies have attempted to retrieve concentrations of WQPs from satellite images using regression-based methods. However, the relationship between WQPs and satellite data is complex to be modeled accurately by using simple regression-based methods. Our study attempts to develop a machine learning model for mapping the concentrations of dominant optical and non-optical WQPs such as electrical conductivity (EC), pH, temperature (Temp), total dissolved solids (TDS), silicon dioxide (SiO₂), and dissolved oxygen (DO). In this context, a remote sensing framework based on the extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost) and multi-layer perceptron (MLP) regressor with optimized hyper parameters (HPs) to quantify concentrations of different WQPs from the Landsat-8 satellite imagery is developed. We evaluated six years of satellite data stretching spatially from upstream to downstream Ankinghat to Chopan (20 stations under Central Water Commission (CWC), Middle Ganga Basin) for characterizing the trends of dominant physico-chemical WQPs across the four clusters identified in our previous study. Through the developed XGBoost and MLP regression models between measured WQPs and the reflectance of the pixels corresponding to the sampling stations, a significant coefficient of determination (R²) in the range of 0.88–0.98 for XGBoost and 0.72–0.97 for MLP were generated, with bands B1–B4 and their ratios more consistent. Indeed, these findings indicate that from a small number of in-situ measurements, we can develop reliable models to estimate the spatio-temporal variations of physico-chemical and biological WQPs. Therefore, models generated from Landsat-8 could facilitate the environmental, economic, and social management of any waterbody.