Automating land cover mapping of Scotland using expert system and knowledge integration methods

Effective land cover mapping often requires the use of multiple data sources and data interpretation methods, particularly when no one data source or interpretation method provides sufficiently good results. Method-oriented approaches are often only effective for specific land cover class/data source combinations, and cannot be applied when different classification systems or data sources are required or available. Here we present a method, based on Endorsement Theory, of pooling evidence from multiple expert systems and spatial datasets to produce land cover maps. Individual ‘experts’ are trained to produce evidence for or against a class, with this evidence being categorised according to strength. An evidence integration rule set is applied to evidence lists to produce conclusions of different strength regarding individual classes, and the most likely class identified. The only expert system design implemented currently within the methodology is a neural network model, although the system has been designed to accept information from decision trees, fuzzy k-means and Bayesian statistics as well. We have used the technique to produce land cover maps of Scotland using three classification systems of varying complexity. Mapping accuracy varied between 52.6% for a map with 96 classes to 88.8% for a map with eight classes. The accuracy of the maps generated is higher than when individual datasets are used, showing that the evidence integration method applied is suitable for improving land cover mapping accuracy. We showed that imagery was not necessarily the most important data source for mapping where a large number of classes are used, and also showed that even data sources that produce low accuracy scores when used for mapping by themselves do improve the accuracy of maps produced using this integrative approach. Future work in developing the method is identified, including the inclusion of additional expert systems and improvement of the evidence integration, and evaluation carried out of the overall effectiveness of the approach.