Evaluating leaf chlorophyll content prediction from multispectral remote sensing data within a physically-based modelling framework

Accurate modelling of leaf chlorophyll content over a range of spatial and temporal scales is central to monitoring vegetation stress and physiological condition, and vegetation response to different ecological, climatic and anthropogenic drivers. A process-based modelling approach can account for variation in other factors affecting canopy reflectance, providing a more accurate estimate of chlorophyll content across different vegetation species, time-frames, and broader spatial extents. However, physically-based modelling studies usually use hyperspectral data, neglecting a wealth of data from broadband and multispectral sources. In this study, we assessed the potential for using canopy (4-Scale) and leaf radiative transfer (PROSPECT4/5) models to estimate leaf chlorophyll content using canopy Landsat satellite data and simulated Landsat bands from leaf level hyperspectral reflectance data. Over 600 leaf samples were used to test the performance of PROSPECT for different vegetation species, including black spruce (Picea mariana), sugar maple (Acer saccharum), trembling aspen (Populus tremuloides) and jack pine (Pinus banksiana). At the leaf level, hyperspectral and simulated Landsat bands showed very similar results to laboratory measured chlorophyll (R²=0.77 and R²=0.75, respectively). Comparisons between PROSPECT4 modelled chlorophyll from simulated Landsat and hyperspectral spectra showed a very close correspondence (R²=0.97, root mean square error (RMSE)=3.01μg/cm²), as did simulated reflectance bands from other broadband and narrowband sensors (MODIS: R²=0.99, RMSE=1.80μg/cm²; MERIS: R²=0.97, RMSE=2.50μg/cm² and SPOT5 HRG: R²=0.96, RMSE=5.38μg/cm²). Modelled leaf chlorophyll content from Landsat 5 TM canopy reflectance data, acquired from over 40 ground validation sites, demonstrated a strong relationship with measured leaf chlorophyll content (R²=0.78, RMSE=8.73μg/cm², p<0.001), and a high linearity with negligible systematic bias. Study results demonstrate the small number of input bands required for PROSPECT inversion and provide a theoretical and operational basis for the future retrieval of leaf chlorophyll content using broadband or multispectral sensors within a physically-based approach.