Economic impact of COVID-19 on tourism and remittances: Insights from Egypt
2020
Breisinger, Clemens | Latif, Abla Abdel | Raouf, Mariam | Wiebelt, Manfred
Using the SAM multiplier model for Egypt, we simulate the individual and combined effects of a collapse in the tourism sector and reductions in Suez Canal revenues and in foreign remittances under more and less pessimistic scenarios. SAM multiplier models are well-suited to measuring short-term direct and indirect impacts of unanticipated, rapid-onset demand- or supply-side economic shocks such as those caused by the COVID-19 pandemic. We model the demand shocks as the anticipated reductions in tourism, Suez Canal, and remittances revenues.
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