Factors Affecting Transboundary Water Disputes: Nile, Indus, and Euphrates–Tigris River Basins
2025
Mujib Ahmad Azizi | Jorge Leandro
Transboundary water disputes arise as nations compete over shared water resources, exacerbated by climate change, socio-economic inequalities, and geopolitical tensions. These disputes, prominent in river basins like the Nile, Euphrates&ndash:Tigris, and Indus, threaten regional stability, water security, and ecological sustainability. This study investigates the drivers of such conflicts, evaluates the role of historical treaties, and examines the socio-economic and political dynamics, including hydro-hegemony and power imbalances, that influence governance. The research addresses the two following key questions: what factors drive transboundary water disputes, and what lessons from past conflicts and cooperation can guide future governance frameworks? Using a descriptive approach, the study critically analyses the literature and case studies to identify actionable insights. Specific objectives include analyzing drivers of conflict, assessing treaty efficacy, and deriving sustainable water-sharing strategies. Findings reveal that climate variability, population growth, and outdated agreements intensify challenges. In the Nile River Basin, Ethiopia&rsquo:s Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam (GERD) strains relations, while in the Indus Basin, the outdated Indus Waters Treaty struggles to address modern demands. Similarly, unilateral actions in the Euphrates&ndash:Tigris River Basin (ETRB) exacerbate socio-political instability. The study underscores the importance of inclusive governance, equitable treaties, and integrated strategies, such as integrated water resources management and climate adaptation, to balance ecological, socio-economic, and geopolitical priorities. Linking these efforts to the Sustainable Development Goals highlights their potential to transform conflict into opportunities for regional stability and shared prosperity.
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