Production Agglomeration and Spatiotemporal Evolution of China’s Fruit Industry over the Last 40 Years
2025
Lu Qiu | Qibin Ouyang | Jane Eastham | Jiayao Wang | Lin Wu
This study analyzes the dynamics of China&rsquo:s fruit industry using a range of analytical tools, including the location Gini coefficient, industry concentration ratio, spatial autocorrelation index, specialization index, and the industry gravity model. It explores the industry&rsquo:s evolving characteristics and trends since the economic reforms, culminating in a trajectory map that highlights shifts in the industry&rsquo:s gravitational center. This study also offers a qualitative analysis of the factors influencing the agglomeration and relocation of fruit production centers. The findings show a steady increase in both total output and yields per unit area within China&rsquo:s fruit industry over time. Although the overall degree of agglomeration has decreased, regional agglomeration effects remain significant. Furthermore, the data reveal significant spatial autocorrelation in fruit production, indicating a long-term westward shift in core production areas. Different geographic areas exhibit varying levels of gradational shifts, with marked differences in production concentration patterns across different fruit types. This study provides a comprehensive framework for understanding production agglomeration, integrating interdisciplinary methods from statistics and geography.
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