Algeria energy production, population growth based on Olduvai Theory
2018
Allali, Malika | Tamali, Mohammed | Rahli, Mostefa
During the last two centuries we have known nothing but exponential growth and in parallel we haveevolved what amounts to an exponential-growth culture, a culture so heavily dependent upon the continuance of exponential growth for its stability that it is incapable of reckoning with problems of no growth. So the Olduvai Theory is based on time-series data of world energy production and population; the data are arrays of discrete numbers year-on-year, not continuous functions of time. Hence the difference calculus must be used, not the infinitesimal calculus. Postulates 1 and 2 require that we distinguish intervals of linear growth from those of exponential growth. Global population has grown to 8.3 billion. Most, though not all, of that growth has been concentrated in South Asia and sub-Saharan Africa, in Algeria will growth to 52 million in 2050 and in 2100 will be 72 million, in Africa and in the same year 2050 will touched 1787 million and in the world will be 9655 million in 2050. The most important measure in the energy balance of Algeria is the total consumption of 42.87 billion kWh per year. Per capita this is an average of 1.065 kWh. Algeria could provide itself completely with self-produced energy. The total production of all energy producing facilities is 54 bn kWh. Thats 126 % of the countries own usage. Despite this Algeria trades its energy with foreign countries. Along with pure consumptions the production, imports and exports play an important role.
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