Hybrid LSTM Method for Multistep Soil Moisture Prediction Using Historical Soil Moisture and Weather Data
2025
Deus F. Kandamali | Erin Porter | Wesley M. Porter | Alex McLemore | Denis O. Kiobia | Ali P. Tavandashti | Glen C. Rains
Soil moisture prediction is a key parameter for effective irrigation scheduling and water use efficiency. However, accurate long-term prediction remains challenging, as most existing models excel in short- to medium-term prediction but struggle to capture the complex temporal dependencies and non-linear interactions of soil moisture variables over extended horizons. This study proposes a hybrid soil moisture prediction method, integrating a long short-term memory (LSTM) network and extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost) model for multistep soil moisture prediction at 24 h, 72 h, and 168 h horizons. The LSTM captures temporal dependencies and extracts high-level features from the dataset, which are then used by XGBoost for final predictions. The study uses real-world data from the D.A.T.A (Demonstrating Applied Technology in Agriculture) research farm at ABAC (Abraham Baldwin Agricultural College) Tifton, GA, USA, utilizing watermark soil moisture sensors and weather station’s data installed on the farm. Results show that the proposed method outperforms other hybrid models, achieving <i>R</i><sup>2</sup> values of 98.67%, 98.54%, and 98.56% for 24, 72, and 168 h predictions, respectively. The study findings highlight that LSTM-XGBoost offers a precise long-term soil moisture prediction, making it a practical tool for real-time irrigation scheduling, enhancing water use efficiency in precision agriculture.
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