The development of suitability species models look for the availability to growth in a study area. These models can be used for different targets. In this research, a suitability model of Eucalyptus has been developed to soils contaminated by trace elements management. Guadiamar Green Corridor has been selected due to the huge data available regarding trace elements, forestry species and so on. Logistic regression (LR) and Random Forest (RF), as popular machine learning model, were applied in a geodatabase from Guadiamar Green Corridor with more of 20 years of data. This database is composed by soil physical and chemical variables, climate (temperature min and max, annual precipitation), forestry species. The results show the poor performance of LR and RF applied directly over the unbalanced training set. However, when Up-sampling or SMOTE are applied, both procedures improve its sensitivity, however, RF show more improve that LR. The methodology applied can help to determine the potential distribution of Eucalyptus in similar Mediterranean areas and extended to different areas according to Soil, Climate and Trace Elements data. Finally, the models developed under this research work can be used to reduce human and environmental health by trace elements taking into account local conditions but also climate change scenarios.

During the past years, air quality has become an important global issue, due to its impact on people's lives and the environment, and has caused severe problems for humans. As a prevention to effectively control air pollution, forecasting models have been developed as a base for decision-makers and urban managers during the past decades. In general, these methods can be divided into three classes: statistical methods, machine learning methods and hybrid methods. This study's primary intent is to supply an overview of air pollution prediction techniques in urban areas and their advantages and disadvantages. A comparison has also been made between the methods in terms of error assessment and the use of geospatial information systems (GIS). In addition, several approaches were applied to actual data, and the findings were compared to those acquired from previous published literatures. The results showed that forecasting using machine learning and hybrid methods has provided better results. It has also been demonstrated that GIS can improve the results of the forecasting methods.

The sediment transport, involving the movement of the bedload and suspended sediment in the basins, is a critical environmental concern that worsens water scarcity and leads to degradation of land and its ecosystems. Machine learning (ML) algorithms have emerged as powerful tools for predicting sediment yield. However, their use by decision-makers can be attributed to concerns regarding their consistency with the involved physical processes. In light of this issue, this study aims to develop a physics-informed ML approach for predicting sediment yield. To achieve this objective, Gaussian, Center, Regular, and Direct Copulas were employed to generate virtual combinations of physical of the sub-basins and hydrological datasets. These datasets were then utilized to train deep neural network (DNN), conventional neural network (CNN), Extra Tree, and XGBoost (XGB) models. The performance of these models was compared with the modified universal soil loss equation (MUSLE), which serves as a process-based model. The results demonstrated that the ML models outperformed the MUSLE model, exhibiting improvements in Nash–Sutcliffe efficiency (NSE) of approximately 10%, 18%, 32%, and 41% for the DNN, CNN, Extra Tree, and XGB models, respectively. Furthermore, through Sobol sensitivity and Shapley additive explanation–based interpretability analyses, it was revealed that the Extra Tree model displayed greater consistency with the physical processes underlying sediment transport as modeled by MUSLE. The proposed framework provides new insights into enhancing the accuracy and applicability of ML models in forecasting sediment yield while maintaining consistency with natural processes. Consequently, it can prove valuable in simulating process-related strategies aimed at mitigating sediment transport at watershed scales, such as the implementation of best management practices.

The prediction and identification of the factors controlling heavy metal transfer in soil-crop ecosystems are of critical importance. In this study, random forest (RF), gradient boosted machine (GBM), and generalised linear (GLM) models were compared after being used to model and identify prior factors that affect the transfer of heavy metals (HMs) in soil-crop systems in the Yangtze River Delta, China, based on 13 covariates with 1822 pairs of soil-crop samples. The mean bioaccumulation factors (BAFs) for all crops followed the order Cd > Zn > As > Cu > Ni > Hg > Cr > Pb. The RF model showed the best prediction ability for the BAFs of HMs in soil-crop ecosystems, followed by GBM and GLM. The R2 values of the RF models for the BAFs of Zn, Cu, Cr, Ni, Hg, Cd, As, and Pb were 0.84, 0.66, 0.59, 0.58, 0.58, 0.51, 0.30, and 0.17, respectively. The primary controlling factor in soil-to-crop transfer of all HMs under study was plant type, followed by soil heavy metal content and soil organic materials. The model used herein could be used to assist the prediction of heavy metal contents in crops based on heavy metal contents in soil and other covariates, and can significantly reduce the cost, labour, and time requirements involved with laboratory analysis. It can also be used to quantify the importance of variables and identify potential control factors in heavy metal bioaccumulation in soil-crop ecosystems.

International audience

International audience | Soil contamination posed by potentially toxic elements is becoming more serious under continuously development of industrialization and the abuse of fertilizers and pesticides. The investigation of soil potentially toxic elements is therefore urgently needed to ensure human and other organisms’ health. In this study, we investigated the feasibility of the separate and combined use of portable X-ray fluorescence (pXRF) and visible near-infrared reflectance (vis-NIR) sensors for measuring eight potentially toxic elements in soil. Low-level fusion was achieved by the direct combination of the pXRF and vis-NIR spectra; middle-level fusion was achieved by the combination of selected bands of the pXRF and vis-NIR spectra using the Boruta feature selection algorithm; and high-level fusion was conducted by outer-product analysis (OPA) and Granger–Ramanathan averaging (GRA). The estimation accuracy for the eight considered elements were in the following order: Zn > Cu > Ni > Cr > As > Cd > Pb > Hg. The measurement for Cu and Zn could be achieved by pXRF spectra alone with Lin’s concordance correlation coefficient (LCCC) values of 0.96 and 0.98, and ratio of performance to interquartile distance (RPIQ) values of 2.36 and 2.69, respectively. The measurement of Ni had the highest model performance for high-level fusion GRA with LCCC of 0.89 and RPIQ of 3.42. The measurements of Cr using middle- and high-level fusion were similar, with LCCC of 0.86 and RPIQ of 2.97. The best estimation accuracy for As, Cd, and Pb were obtained by high-level fusion using OPA, with LCCC >0.72 and RPIQ >1.2. However, Hg measurement by these techniques failed, having an unacceptable performance of LCCC <0.20 and RPIQ <0.75. These results confirm the effectiveness of using portable spectrometers to determine the contents of several potentially toxic elements in soils.

Nitrous oxide is a potent greenhouse gas, with a global warming potential 298 times greater than that of CO2. In agricultural soils, N2O emissions are influenced by a large number of environmental characteristics and crop management techniques that are not systematically reported in experiments. Random Forest (RF) is a machine learning method that can handle missing data and ranks input variables on the basis of their importance. We aimed to predict N2O emission on the basis of local information, to rank environmental and crop management variables according to their influence on N2O emission, and to compare the performances of RI: with several regression models. RF outperformed the regression models for predictive purposes, and this approach led to the identification of three important input variables: N fertilization, type of crop, and experiment duration. This method could be used in the future for prediction of N2O emissions from local information. (c) 2013 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.

The concentration of persistent organic pollutants (POPs) makes remarkable difference to environmental fate. In the field of passive sampling, the partition coefficients between polystyrene-divinylbenzene resin (XAD) and air (i.e., KXAD₋A) are indispensable to obtain POPs concentration, and the KXAD₋A is generally thought to be governed by temperature and molecular structure of POPs. However, experimental determination of KXAD₋A is unrealistic for countless and novel chemicals. Herein, the Abraham solute descriptors of poly parameter linear free energy relationship (pp-LFER) and temperature were utilized to develop models, namely pp-LFER-T, for predicting KXAD₋A values. Two linear (MLR and LASSO) and four nonlinear (ANN, SVM, kNN and RF) machine learning algorithms were employed to develop models based on a data set of 307 sample points. For the aforementioned six models, R²ₐdⱼ and Q²ₑₓₜ were both beyond 0.90, indicating distinguished goodness-of-fit and robust generalization ability. By comparing the established models, the best model was observed as the RF model with R²ₐdⱼ = 0.991, Q²ₑₓₜ = 0.935, RMSEₜᵣₐ = 0.271 and RMSEₑₓₜ = 0.868. The mechanism interpretation revealed that the temperature, size of molecules and dipole-type interactions were the predominant factors affecting KXAD₋A values. Concurrently, the developed models with the broad applicability domain provide available tools to fill the experimental data gap for untested chemicals. In addition, the developed models were helpful to preliminarily evaluate the environmental ecological risk and understand the adsorption behavior of POPs between XAD membrane and air.

Facing billions of tons of pollutants entering the ocean each year, aquatic toxicity is becoming a crucial endpoint for evaluating chemical adverse effects on ecosystems. Notably, huge amount of toxic chemicals at environmental relevant doses can cause potential adverse effects. However, chronic aquatic toxicity effects of chemicals are much scarcer, especially at population level. Rotifers are highly sensitive to toxicants even at chronic low-doses and their communities are usually considered as effective indicators for assessing the status of aquatic ecosystems. Therefore, the no observed effect concentration (NOEC) for population abundance of rotifers were selected as endpoints to develop machine learning models for the prediction of chemical aquatic chronic toxicity. In this study, forty-eight binary models were built by eight types of chemical descriptors combined with six machine learning algorithms. The best binary model was 1D & 2D molecular descriptors – random trees model (RT) with high balanced accuracy (BA) (0.83 for training and 0.83 for validation set), and Matthews correlation coefficient (MCC) (0.72 for training set and 0.67 for validation set). Moreover, the optimal model identified the primary factors (SpMAD_Dzp, AMW, MATS2v) and filtered out three high alerting substructures [c1cc(Cl)cc1, CNCO, CCOP(=S)(OCC)O] influencing the chronic aquatic toxicity. These results showed that the compounds with low molecular volume, high polarity and molecular weight could contribute to adverse effects on rotifers, facilitating the deeper understanding of chronic toxicity mechanisms. In addition, forecast models had better performances than the common models embedded into ECOSAR software. This study provided insights into structural features responsible for the toxicity of different groups of chemicals and thereby allowed for the rational design of green and safer alternatives.

Soil contamination by potentially toxic elements (PTEs) is one of the greatest threats to environmental degradation. Knowing where PTEs accumulated in soil can mitigate their adverse effects on plants, animals, and human health. We evaluated the potential of using long-term remote sensing images that reveal the bare soils, to detect and map PTEs in agricultural fields. In this study, 360 soil samples were collected at the superficial layer (0–20 cm) in a 2574 km² agricultural area located in São Paulo State, Brazil. We tested the Soil Synthetic Image (SYSI) using Landsat TM/ETM/ETM+, Landsat OLI, and Sentinel 2 images. The three products have different spectral, temporal, and spatial resolutions. The time series multispectral images were used to reveal areas with bare soil and their spectra were used as predictors of soil chromium, iron, nickel, and zinc contents. We observed a strong linear relationship (−0.26 > r > −0.62) between the selected PTEs and the near infrared (NIR) and shortwave infrared (SWIR) bands of Sentinel (ensemble of 4 years of data), Landsat TM (35 years data), and Landsat OLI (4 years data). The clearest discrimination of soil PTEs was obtained from SYSI using a long term Landsat 5 collection over 35 years. Satellite data could efficiently detect the contents of PTEs in soils due to their relation with soil attributes and parent materials. Therefore, distinct satellite sensors could map the PTEs on tropics and assist in understanding their spatial dynamics and environmental effects.