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Associate Professor, Faculty of Urbanism, University of Tehran, Iran
2015
Noorian, Farshad | Vahidi Borji, Goldis
In Iran, Urban land use planning is done in format of the comprehensive and detailed plan but, even after near fifty years of development of land use plan, there are still critiques together with some revisions in legal proceedings, content and procedures. This article is a study of evaluation of urban land use planning in current decade and specifically assesses urban land use planning in Bojnord’s detailed plan with indices of Place check and Needs assessment. Results of Placecheck indicate that only 7.92 percent of proposed land uses are fulfilled, while 34.8 percent have been abandoned and 57.28 percent underwent change of land use. Therefore, it can be concluded that Placecheck of uses has played a very small role. Result of Needs assessment index also signifies that 47.61 percent of the surface areas have realized proposed use. This shows that Needs assessment has equally failed but, compared to the other index, a flexible locality of uses contributes to realization of proposed plans. In the following and in form of interviews with executers, various obstacles on the way of realization, problems like land ownership, insufficient correspondence between planners and executers, and inadequate legal surveillance and obligations were indentified.
显示更多 [+] 显示较少 [-]Predicting of Urban Growth Pattern Using Logistic Regression Model in Gorgan Area
2015
galdavi, somayeh | mohammadzadeh, marjan | salman mahiny, abdolrassoul | najafi nejad, ali
Modeling urban development patterns is an important technique for understanding complex urban growth processes. In this study, Logistic Regression model was conducted to model urban growth pattern of Gorgan area in North Iran, during the period 1988-2025. To do this, remotely sensed imagery of years 1988, 1998 and 2007 were used to produce land use maps. Also, dependent and independents variables were created to perform urban growth pattern modeling. Then, urban changes were detected during 1988 – 2007 and urban change modelling was achieved using Logistic Regression. After that, future urban grow pattern was predicted. The results indicated that urban areas have increased during study time period. Validation of model results was performed using Pseudo-R2 and ROC values which were more than 0.27and 0.83 respectively. Furthermore, Logistic Regression was applied to predict urban growth patterns for the years of 2016 and 2025. According to the results, appropriate implementations are needed to control land use changes, particularly urban growth, in order to preserve environmental as well as ecological balances of the area. The result could be help the managers to monitor and prevent the unplanned urban development in future. Model’s extracted maps can be used for managing and controlling future urban development.
显示更多 [+] 显示较少 [-]Zoning of Kerman City Vulnerability based on the Principles of Passive Defense
2015
Meimandi Parizi, Sedigheh | Kazeminiya, Abdolreza
Evaluation of these and the threat, much reduces costs in the event of crisis and better life with safety and creates security for citizens. On this basis assessment of cities vulnerability during the battles and compile appropriate ways to reduce vulnerability and damages is essential. Therefore this study sought to assess and vulnerability zoning of Kerman city from the perspective of passive defense with an emphasis on land uses and vital infrastructures and possible threats city as well as three indicators of population density, quality of buildings and empty spaces. To achieve this objective the Delphi method and Analytical Hierarchy Process (AHP) is used. Also using the ArcGIS software and it's analyze, Vulnerability maps were developed. Finally, by combining the zoning map the vulnerability of vital infrastructures and population and physical indicators, the final zoning map vulnerabilities in Kerman is achieved. According to the plan a wide range of domestic and central city are as are vulnerable to high and medium. The most vulnerable areas is Zone 3 and Zone4 is the safest area of Kerman city.
显示更多 [+] 显示较少 [-]Analysis of Spatial Matrix of Regional Development gGap in Markazi Province
2015
faraji mollaie, amin | Aliverdiloo, Hadi
Today, unequal regional development is concerned of many developing countries, such as Iran. Centralization, inequality in the distribution of population, activity and natural and human resources and inequality between the regions are including factors and obstacles to regional development in the country. Study the undeveloped cities and areas to set priorities for planning and eliminate the regional development gap is the first step in the process of decision-making for deprivation deprived areas. The regional comprehensive develop approach need economic, social and environmental factors base on human and environment conditions according to each region. The aim of this study is to identify undeveloped county and analysis to investigate the causes of inequalities (gap) in the Makazi counties, according to 14 indicators of economic, social, health and cultural. The research is based on objective, practical resaerch and method of paper is descriptive-analytical. Collecting method for data (1390) is a library (documentary method). In this study for analysis and ranking of counties is used multi-criteria decision method. Based on the results of the models HURWITZ, Maxi max, Maxi min, ELECTRE and show it on a map in GIS; Arak and Saveh are developed, Sazand, Delijan and Khomain are developing and Tafresh, Mhalat, Zarandiyeh, Ashtian and Komijan are developed counties. In general, in the Markazi province formed two separate regions. One is in the southern part of the province (Markazi) and the other in the northern part of the province of Arak (Saveh).
显示更多 [+] 显示较少 [-]Systematic Analysis of Strategic Variables of Regional Development in Scenario- based Planning (Case: Mazandaran Province)
2015
Zali, Nader | Zamanipoor, Masood
The present era is an era when rapid and amazing changes due to the rapid advancement of science and technology, political decisions by governments and other macro and micro factors arrive quickly which have a profound impact on the dominant trends. So, for the formulation of regional development scenarios in such era, realistic and systematic knowledge in the strategic area of planning seems to be essential. Using developmental approach and applying systems theory, the researcher in this study aimed to evaluate and analyze the development strategic variables of Mazandaran province as the main variables of scenario planning for regional development in horizon 1410. The methodology of this study is structural analysis. It is a qualitative research in terms of nature of the data, and a survey and documentary one in terms of methods of data collection. Cross analysis are used to analyze data by use of MICMAC software. The results indicate that the key and strategic variables of Mazandaran province development in Horizon 1410 includes: "the way of country’s macro management ," "inflation," "the way of managing the province", "Research & Development (R & D)", "level of IT (information technology)", "population", and finally "inter-institutional cooperation ". Meanwhile, the key capabilities and the priorities of the development of the province in Horizon 1410 include: "Crops", "gardens and nursery ", "aquaculture", "special economic zone of Amirabad", "tourism", "Fereidoon'kenar Port", "AmirAbad Port ".
显示更多 [+] 显示较少 [-]A Genetic Algorithm Enhancement of MOLA Approach Using Landscape Metrics
2015
Kamyab, Hamidreza | Salman Mahiny, Abdolrassoul | Shahraini, Mohammad
There is competition between land uses in spatial land use allocation. In this research two approaches including Multi Objective Land Allocation (MOLA) and optimization with Genetic Algorithm (GA) were used for conflict resolution. The MOLA approach is based on suitability and proximity to ideal point whereas in GA, a suitability layer together with a cohesion index was used for land use allocation. The output from MOLA application was fed into the GA approach as the initial population and contiguity index as a landscape metric was used in the process to improve the result. With inclusion of contiguity in the GA approach which is absent in MOLA, and has no precedence in Iran, the final patches in the land use pattern were compacter and better shaped. Results showed GA application using MOLA output improves landscape metrics specifications in the final land use plan. However, including landscape metrics compromises suitability for land use, but there is possibility of balancing suitability and landscape indices in the GA application process. The final layer created through GA showed capability of considering suitability and landscape metrics simultaneously in land use planning towards achieving an optimal solution.
显示更多 [+] 显示较少 [-]The Strategies of the land use in Border Regions Based on the SWOT-AHP and SWOT-ANP Models Case Study (Sistan and Baluchistan) AboollFazl Ghanbari 1*, Ayoub Sardari2, Arash
2015
Ghanbari, AboollFazl | Sardari, Ayoub | Zand karimi, Arash | Zand karimi, Sheyda
The aim of the present study is to represent the strategies and approaches to develop the border areas of Sistan and Baluchistan Province. The research method was descriptive-analytic. Furthermore, the study was an applied research, documentary and field studies were the methods of data collection, and the research was performed in the form of questionnaire. The validity of it was reviewed and confirmed by 20 experts (experts in urban and rural planning, and land use). The model used in this research was a hybrid model of SWOT-ANP and SWOT- AHP. Thus, the capabilities and limitations of the land use of border areas were measured. In terms of development, has been made. To reach this goal, by using the technique of SWOT, the strengths and weaknesses (internal factors), and the opportunities and threats (external factors) were identified. By the use of ANP and AHP models, the external and internal factors were examined to adopt the best strategy (SO, WO, ST, and WT). The findings indicated that in the SWOT-ANP model, the SO strategy with the score weight of 0.28152, and the ST strategy with the score weight of 0.26573 were chosen as the most important strategy, and as the alternative strategy, respectively. Moreover, in the SWOT- AHP model, the ST strategy with the score weight of 0.705, and WO strategy with the score weight of 0.601 were chosen as the most important strategy, and as the alternative strategy, respectively.
显示更多 [+] 显示较少 [-]Planning Approach to Land Use Change Modeling Using Satellite Images Several Times Behbahan City
2015
Pourkhabbaz, Hamid Reza | Mohammadyari, Fatemeh | Aghdar, Hossein | Tavakoly, Morteza
Study of changes in the past and the destruction of resources and the feasibility and expected changes in the coming years can be planning and optimal use of resources and controlling non-fundamental changes in the future is an important step. The present study aimed to model the Behbahan using LCM city land use changes and Markov chain was used. In this regard, land use change detection using satellite images Landsat, ASTER and ETM+ (Image 2000) and OLI (Image 2014) was performed. Using logistic regression modeling and 6 variable power transmission, digital elevation models, slope, away from residential areas, the distance of agricultural, away from the road map and Evidence Likelihood was performed. For maps of the distance from residential areas, agricultural lands and away from the road distance analysis Euclidean distance and to evaluate the correlation between the independent variables and the dependent variable Cramer's correlation coefficient was used. The ROC indicator used to assess the validity of the model. Comparison of modeled area map with the map of 2014 shows the residential areas and agricultural land continues to be a growing trend will continue. As the residential area of 3157 hectares, 4180 hectares in 2014 to 15030 hectares to 20778 hectares of agricultural land increased. But the destruction of rangeland has not only not improved, but the intensity is much higher than the last.
显示更多 [+] 显示较少 [-]Calculation of Ecological Conformity Urban of Development in Gorgan
2015
Hajizadeh, Fatemeh | Mirkarimi, Seyed Hamed | Salman Mahiny, AbdolRasoul | Mohammadzadeh, Marjan
Today, with the rapid growth of urban population and as a result, rapid and unbridled urbanization of human societies have been caused some issues. In Gorgan, an increase in level of urban settlements is done regardless to the capabilities and limitations of land and ecological potential of urban development. In this study, it is performed to evaluate and conform to urban development, regard to ecological capability to protect the environmental ability of Grogan. In this case, the multi-criteria assessment approach with weighted linear combination of the GIS is performed to evaluate the ecological capability of Gorgan for conformity to urban development in different years based on the criteria. Then, there is a comparison between final map of capability and current development; moreover, the rate of conformity in different years is calculated. It is illustrated that the ecological conformity had been decrease gradually from 1987 to 2013, which causes hazardous effects on the environment that seems to be still remain for years. Therefore, reduction of the ecological noncompliance should be considered by relevant authorities. The outputs could be used for urban planners to observe the environmental principles to promote existing conditions.
显示更多 [+] 显示较少 [-]Urban Environmental Quality Assessment by Using Composite Index Model Case Study (Tehran Metropolitan Area)
2015
Robati, Maryam
Quantifying the performance of national policies and programs in different economic, social, and environmental fields has always been a major concern of planners, politicians and researchers worldwide. According to UN statistics, more than 60% of the world population will live in urban areas by the year 2030Despite occupying only 2% of the total land area on Earth, more than half the world's population is living in cities. In this study, a systems approach was adopted to develop a composite index in order to assess the potential of a city to become sustainable. The index is composed of 10 components containing a total number of 19 indicators. According to which, the 22 districts of Tehran City were compared in terms of sustainability of urban environment quality. The obtained results indicated that the Districts 1, 2 and 3 are in ideal sustainability conditions. These areas are among prosperous places of the city. About 59.09% of all districts were below the average. The Districts 18 and 19 with the values of 0.21 and 0.25 remain in critical condition.
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