Comparing the performance of multispectral vegetation indices and machine-learning algorithms for remote estimation of chlorophyll content: a case study in the Sundarbans mangrove forest

Optical vegetation indices (VIs) have been used to retrieve and assess biophysical variables from satellite reflectance data. These indices, however, also are sensitive to a number of confounding factors, such as canopy geometry, soil optical properties, and solar position. This suggests that VIs should be used cautiously for biophysical parameter estimation. Among biophysical variables, chlorophyll content is of particular importance as an indicator of photosynthetic activity. The goal of this study is to investigate the performance of multispectral optical VIs for chlorophyll content estimation in the world’s largest mangrove forest, the Sundarbans, and to compare these with machine-learning algorithms (MLAs). To this end, we have investigated the performance of 15 multispectral VIs and six state-of-the-art MLAs that are widely used for adaptive data fitting. The MLAs are Artificial Neural Networks (ANNs), Genetic Algorithm (GA), Gaussian Processes for Machine Learning (GPML), Kernel Ridge Regression (KRR), Locally Weighted Polynomials (LWP), and Multivariate Adaptive Regression Splines (MARS). We use an in situ data set of reflectance and chlorophyll measurements to develop and validate our models. Each MLA was evaluated 500 times with random partitions of training and validation data. Results showed that the weight optimization and term selection used within GA produce the most reliable chlorophyll content estimation. However, green normalized difference VI (GNDVI) is a simple and computationally efficient VI that produces results that are nearly as accurate as GA in terms of model fit and performance. Results also show that all methods except ANNs and MARS produce a quasi-linear relationship between spectral reflectance and chlorophyll content. Statistical transformations of GNDVI and chlorophyll content have the capability of further reducing model error.