Taking Stock, July 2014

World Bank

Taking Stock, July 2014

2014

World Bank

Global growth is projected to pick up to 3.4 percent in 2015 and 3.5 percent in 2016, propelled by highincome countries. Developing country growth will benefit from these tailwinds, with growth projected to increase from 4.8 percent in 2014 to 5.5 percent in 2016 broadly in line with potential. Global growth projections for 2014, however, have been marked down from 3.2 percent to 2.8 percent on account of the bumpy start this year, buffeted by poor weather in the United States, financial market turbulence and the conflict in Ukraine. The outlook for the East Asia and the Pacific region continues to reflect several counterbalancing factors, including domestic policy adjustment, volatile financing conditions, political crisis in Thailand, and sustained recovery in global demand for exports. Regional GDP growth is expected to slow down slightly to 7.0 percent by 2016, about 2 percentage points slower than the pre-crisis boom years but broadly in line with potential. Regional risks include volatility and eventual tightening of global financing conditions, possible setbacks in China s restructuring and a weaker contribution from net exports than assumed in the baseline. Potential escalation of regional political tensions presents additional risk to the outlook.

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AGROVOC Keywords

access to information accountability accounting agriculture balance sheets bank deposits bankruptcy commercial banks devaluation developing countries economic conditions economic development economic growth employment equipment exchange rate exports financial market gross domestic product growth rate housing income income distribution income tax inflation insurance interest rates inventories land use laws liquidity living standards market prices natural disasters private investment productivity profitability public debt public finance public investment public services real estate remittances stock exchange transport unemployment value added volatility wages water supply wto

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Other Subjects

Net exports; Strategic investors; Banking sector stability; Sovereign risks; Cds; Alternative investments; Central bank; Bank policy; Portfolio; Foreign direct investment; Investment process; Depositor; Recurrent expenditure; Tax administration; Loan classification; Budget deficit; Government revenue; Level playing field; Revenue sharing; Budgeting; Health expenditures; Consolidation; Tax revenues; Lottery; Capital adequacy; Asset management companies; Return; Regulatory framework; Contingent liabilities; Non-performing loans; Government accounting standards; Tax policy; Growth potential; Public sector debt; Domestic debt; Import tariffs; Lending spreads; Production inputs; Initial public offerings; Real gdp; Skills shortages; Balance sheet; Income level; Capital projects; Investment climate; Inventory; Debt financing; Ownership structure; Macroeconomic stabilization; Consumer price index; Binding constraint; Trade deficit; Banking sector reforms; Business licenses; Foreign investors; Incomes; Information disclosure; Turnover; Government expenditure; Equity investment; Credit default; Macroeconomic environment; Price stability; Capital investments; Investment projects; Foreign exchange reserves; Capital investment; Trade relations; Debt burdens; Policy responses; Debts; Enabling environment; Growth projections; Investor confidence; Fiscal deficit; Bilateral trade; Macroeconomic risks; International accounting standards; Systemic risk; Securities; Private investors; Agricultural output; Power parity; Bad debts; Dividend policy; Risk aversion; Credit growth; Credit rating agency; State bank; Gini coefficient; Basis points; Legal reform; Competitiveness; Legal framework; Credit institutions; Asset classification; Investment capital; Income inequality; Credit default swap; Market mechanisms; Financial crisis; Financial performance; Purchasing power; Mergers; Insolvency regime; Corporate governance; Loan; Total revenue; Domestic banks; Ethnic minorities; Forecasts; Credit availability; Developing country; Banking sector; Debt management; Npl; Sovereign risk; External trade; Access to loans; Reserve; Deposit; Credit rating; Credit institution; Foreign holdings; Gdp; Recapitalization; Portfolio quality; Political stability; Expenditure assignments; Banking system; Labor market; Dividends; Underlying problems; Fiscal deficits; Market economy; Foreign exchange markets; Return on equity; International investment; Access to capital; Price movements; Foreign exchange; International standards; Unemployment rate; Income growth; Issuance; Loan guarantees; Return on asset; Banking supervision; Wealth; Bonds; Lending practices; Investment activities; Export growth; Tax collection; Global economy; Trading; Own source revenue; Poor asset quality; Market trends; Transparency; Asset management; Economic developments; Structural problems; Expenditures; Macroeconomic stability; Shareholders; Impaired assets; Monetary policy; Liquidations; Market value; Deposits; Development assistance; Capital account; Reserve fund

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English

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Taking Stock, July 2014

2014

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