Winter wheat yield in Wroclaw area during the period 2010-2050, simulations using CERES-Wheat model and GISS scenario

Barczyk, R. . Katedra Matematyki; Dubicka, M.; Kuchar, L.

Winter wheat yield in Wroclaw area during the period 2010-2050, simulations using CERES-Wheat model and GISS scenario

1999

Barczyk, R. (Akademia Rolnicza, Wroclaw (Poland). Katedra Matematyki) | Dubicka, M. | Kuchar, L.

In the paper the impact of climate change for winter wheat production in Wroclaw province is presented. Based on GISS scenario and weather generator. Summary climatology and daily data for the 1990, 2010, 2030 and 2050 are produced, and next applied for CERES-Wheat simulation model. Dynamic of the basic yield (excluding fertility) during the period 1990-2050 for 3 soil type (Black, Grey-Brown, Alluvial Brown) and 3 wheat variety (Mironowskaja, Biezostnaja, Emika) is shown. Simulation have shown yield changes up to 0.4 t/ha (about 15 percent), depend on soil, winter wheat variety, and time of prediction

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AGROVOC Keywords

clima climat climate crop yield cultivos de invierno culture d'hiver data analysis meteorologia meteorologie meteorology poland pologne polonia rendement des cultures rendimiento de cultivos simulation models triticum weather weather data winter crops yield forecasting

Bibliographic information

Published in

Zeszyty Naukowe Akademii Rolniczej we Wroclawiu. Rolnictwo (Poland)

Issue 36774 ISSN 0137-1959

Pagination

pp. 303-315

Other Subjects

Datos meteorologicos; Prevision de rendement; Temps meteorologique; Donnee meteorologique; Pronostico del rendimiento; Modele de simulation; Modelos de simulacion; Analyse de donnees; Tiempo meteorologico; Analisis de datos

Language

Polish

Note

Summary (En)

3 tables; 16 ref.

Translated Title

Plonowanie pszenicy ozimej w rejonie Wroclawia w latach 2010-2050: symulacje w oparciu o model plonowania CERES-Wheat oraz scenariusz zmiany klimatu GISS

Type

Summary

In AGRIS since: 2002-08-15

Format: AGRIS AP

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Winter wheat yield in Wroclaw area during the period 2010-2050, simulations using CERES-Wheat model and GISS scenario

1999

AGROVOC Keywords

Bibliographic information