Interannual variations, sources, and health impacts of the springtime ozone in Shanghai
2022
Li, Xiao-Bing | Fan, Guangqiang
In spring, ozone (O₃) pollution frequently occurrs in eastern China, but key drivers remain uncertain. In this study, interannual variations in springtime ozone in Shanghai, China, from 2013 to 2021, were investigated to assess the health impacts and the effectiveness of recent air pollution control measures. A combination of ground-level measurements of regulated air pollutants, lidar observations, and backward trajectories of air masses was used to identify the key drivers for enhancing springtime O₃. The results show that external imports of O₃ driven by atmospheric circulation are notable sources of springtime surface O₃. For example, the downward transport from the free troposphere could contribute to over 50% of surface O₃ in the morning. The surface O₃ mixing ratios in spring exhibited an upward trend of 0.93 ppb yr⁻¹ (p < 0.05) from 2013 to 2021. The change in meteorological variables, particularly the increase in air temperature, could explain nearly 87% of the springtime O₃ upward trend. The change in anthropogenic emissions of precursors only contributed to a small fraction (<13%) of the increase in springtime O₃. The cumulative exposure of urban residents to O₃ in spring also exhibited a significant upward trend (111 ppb yr⁻¹, p < 0.05). With the rapid increase in surface O₃, premature respiratory mortality attributable to O₃ exposure has fluctuated at approximately 2933 deaths per year since 2016, even though the total deaths from respiratory diseases have significantly declined. Long-term exposure to high O₃ concentrations is a significant contributor to premature respiratory mortality.
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