Impact of a global temperature rise of 1.5 degrees celsius on Asia’s glaciers
2017
Kraaijenbrink, P.D.A. | Bierkens, M.F.P. | Lutz, A.F. | Immerzeel, W.W.
The initial study shows that a global temperature rise of 1.5°C will lead to a warming of 2.1±0.1°C in the high mountains of Asia (HMA), and that 64±7 per cent of the present-day ice mass stored in the HMA glaciers will remain by the end of the century. However, as the 1.5°C goal is extremely ambitious it is projected by only a small number of climate models. Of the IPCC’s Representative Concentration Pathway (RCP), projections for RCP4.5, RCP6.0 and RCP8.5 reveal that much of the glacier ice is likely to disappear, with mass losses of 49±7 per cent, 51±6 per cent and 64±5 per cent, respectively, by the end of the century.
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