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Dynamic wastewater-induced research based on input-output analysis for Guangdong Province, China
2020
Zheng, Boyue | Huang, Guohe | Liu, Lirong | Guan, Yuru | Zhai, Mengyu
Large amounts of wastewater discharge have emerged as a burden in the process of industrialization and urbanization. In this study, a dynamic wastewater-induced input-output model is developed to systematically analyze the related situation. The developed model is applied to Guangdong Province, China to analyze its prominent characteristics from 2002 to 2015. Combining input-output analysis, ecological network analysis and structural decomposition analysis, the developed model reveals issues of direct and indirect discharges, relationships among various discharges, and driving forces of wastewater discharges. It is uncovered that Primary Manufacturing and Advanced Manufacturing dominate the system because of significant temporal and spatial variations in wastewater discharge. In addition, Manufacturing of paper, computer and machinery and Services are the key industries responsible for large amounts of wastewater discharge and unhealthy source-discharge relationships. The largest wastewater discharge occurred in 2005 and indirect wastewater discharge is the main form. Furthermore, final demand is found to be the biggest driving force of wastewater discharge. Finally, a three-phase policy implementation system implemented in stages proposes solutions to wastewater problems.
Mostrar más [+] Menos [-]The temporal variation of SO2 emissions embodied in Chinese supply chains, 2002–2012
2018
Yang, Xue | Zhang, Wenzhong | Fan, Jie | Li, Jiaming | Meng, Jing
Whilst attention is increasingly being focused on embodied pollutant emissions along supply chains in China, relatively little attention has been paid to dynamic changes in this process. This study utilized environmental extended input-output analysis (EEIOA) and structural path analysis (SPA) to investigate the dynamic variation of the SO2 emissions embodied in 28 economic sectors in Chinese supply chains during 2002–2012. The main conclusions are summarized as follows: (1) The dominant SO2 emission sectors differed under production and consumption perspectives. Electricity and heat production dominated SO2 emissions from the point of view of production, while construction contributed most from the consumption perspective. (2) The embodied SO2 emissions tended to change from the path (staring from consumption side to production side): “Services→Services→Power” in 2002 to the path: “Construction and Manufacturing→Metal and Nonmetal→Power” in 2012. (3) Metal-driven emissions raised dramatically from 15% in 2002 to 22% in 2012, due to increasing demand for metal products in construction and manufacturing activities. (4) Power generation was found to result in the greatest volume of production-based emissions, a burden it tended to transfer to upstream sectors in 2012. Controlling construction activities and cutting down end-of-pipe discharges in the process of power generation represent the most radical interventions in reducing Chinese SO2 emissions. This study shed light on changes in SO2 emissions in the supply chain, providing a range of policy implications from both production and consumption perspectives.
Mostrar más [+] Menos [-]Energy-related carbon emissions and structural emissions reduction of China’s construction industry: the perspective of input–output analysis
2022
Jiang, Tangyang | Li, Shuangqi | Yu, Yang | Peng, Yufang
Excessive carbon emissions from energy consumption seriously restrict China’s sustainable development and eco-environmental protection. Although the carbon emissions from the construction industry are less than that of the power, transportation, and manufacturing sectors, the carbon emissions released by the construction industry cannot be ignored due to its extensive development trend of high energy consumption and low efficiency. Based on this, this paper studies energy-related carbon emissions and emissions reduction of China’s construction industry from 2007 to 2017 by adopting the input–output analysis method, energy consumption method, and structural decomposition model. The results show that within the sample range: (1) The optimization of the construction industry energy consumption structure has a significant reduction effect on the growth of energy carbon emissions from the construction industry in China, and the reduction effect has shown an increasing trend over time. However, it should be noted that in this sample range, the optimization of energy consumption structure in the construction industry is mainly reflected in the decrease of the proportion of high-carbon energy consumption such as raw coal, while low-carbon energy such as natural gas has not played a significant role. Therefore, the future energy optimization space of China’s construction industry is still huge. (2) Energy intensity effect and input structure effect have a positive inhibitory effect on carbon emission growth of the construction industry, and the inhibitory effect of energy intensity effect is stronger than that of input structure effect. It shows that in the sample range, the generalized technological progress and energy efficiency of the construction industry have been better optimized and improved. (3) Except for 2015–2017, the final demand effect in other intervals has a positive effect on the growth of carbon emissions in the construction industry, and the secondary and tertiary industries play a major role in the final demand effect. It shows that the total demand for the construction industry in various industries still maintains a growth trend. This paper provides a theoretical analysis basis and practical guidance for China’s construction industry to carry out more accurate and efficient emission reduction from the supply-side energy varieties and demand-side industry level, and further enriches the existing research on carbon emissions of the construction industry from the perspective of input–output analysis.
Mostrar más [+] Menos [-]International trade, CO2 emissions, and re-examination of “Pollution Haven Hypothesis” in China
2022
Wu, Ran | Ma, Tao | Chen, Dongxu | Zhang, Wenxi
We use input-output analysis and Levinson’s structural decomposition method to measure China’s CO₂ emissions under the no-trade hypothesis, to calculate how international trade affects China’s emissions. We also analyze the driving factors of the difference between hypothetical no-trade CO₂ emissions and actual emissions and discuss the existence of “Pollution Haven Hypothesis” (PHH) in China. The results show that (1) from 2000 to 2017, the hypothetical no-trade CO₂ emissions are 2.43–14.67% lower than actual emissions. The scale effect is the main cause of this difference, while the composition effect fluctuates and has little impact. (2) Although exports make other economies’ CO₂ emissions transfer to China, imports also help avoid China’s emissions from some carbon-intensive sectors. (3) International trade has little impact on the cleanliness of China’s industry composition. The no-trade industry composition is slightly cleaner than the actual one before 2010, after which trade improves the cleanliness of industry composition to a small extent. PHH is invalid for China in recent years, and results for most developing countries do not support PHH. (4) The relationship between no-trade effects and income per capita for all the economies does not also support PHH. Most economies reduce emissions, and their industry compositions are cleaner because of trade, regardless of their development degree. Trade will not severely influence China’s future emission reduction, and improving the cleanliness of carbon-intensive sectors should be paid more attention to.
Mostrar más [+] Menos [-]Structural emission reduction in China’s industrial systems and energy systems: an input-output analysis
2022
China is committed to achieving the goals of “peak carbon and carbon neutrality,” and the carbon dioxide emissions generated in the energy utilization process mainly come from industrial and energy systems. This paper used structural decomposition analysis (SDA) and input-output analysis to study the structural emission reductions in China’s industrial and energy systems in 2007–2015. The results revealed that the final demand effect was the main factor promoting the growth of energy-related CO₂ emissions and that the energy intensity effect played a weak role in promoting the growth of energy-related CO₂ emissions. However, the energy structure effect and input structure effect reduced energy-related carbon emission growth. We found that for energy systems, the emission reduction effects of blast furnace gas, raw coal, refinery dry gas, and natural gas were obvious, while those of crude oil, gasoline, fuel oil, and kerosene were not obvious. For industrial systems, the tertiary industry played a major role in the final demand effect, followed by the secondary industry, and the primary industry in turn. This paper provides a theoretical basis and practical guidance for the carbon peak and carbon neutrality goals of China’s energy systems and industrial systems.
Mostrar más [+] Menos [-]Applying data mining techniques for technology prediction in new energy vehicle: a case study in China
2021
Xu, Xueguo | Gui, Meizeng
Technology prediction is an important technique to help new energy vehicle (NEV) firms keep market advantage and sustainable development. Under fierce competition in the new energy industry, there is an urgent necessity for innovative technology prediction method to effectively identify core and frontier technologies for NEV firms. Among the various methods of technology prediction, one of the most frequently used methods is to make technology prediction from patent data. This paper synthesizes the frequent pattern growth (FP-growth) algorithm and input-output analysis to construct a new technology prediction method based on the knowledge flow perspective, takes the data of NEV patent family in 1989–2018 the Derwent patent database as a sample, divides the data according to the 5-year standard, and uses the method to identify the core and frontier technologies in the NEV field during different periods. Furthermore, the multiple co-occurrence method applies to analyze the technology layout and evolution patterns in China’s NEV field. The results show that the technology prediction method proposed in this paper can effectively identify core and frontier technologies to achieve NEV technology prediction.
Mostrar más [+] Menos [-]Spatial-temporal analysis of China’s carbon intensity: a ST-IDA decomposition based on energy input-output table
2021
Liu, Hongyan | Gong, Guofei
It is of crucial importance to identify the driving factors for emission changes since China’s commitment to reduce carbon intensity in 2009. Hence, the spatial-temporal variation of carbon intensity of China’s 30 provinces from 2010 to 2017 is explored by applying a Spatial-temporal Index decomposition analysis (ST-IDA) model combined with energy input-output analysis. Industrial structure, energy intensity, energy structure, and carbon emission coefficient are identified as driving factors; simultaneously, a new factor, energy conversion efficiency, is also introduced based on the energy input-output analysis, which is of significance as China is vigourously pushing electricitification. The results show that the carbon intensity of economic sectors in most provinces declined from 2010 to 2017. Energy intensity is the biggest contributor to both the temporal decline of carbon intensity and its spatial difference for economic sectors, followed by industrial structure, energy conversion efficiency, energy structure and carbon emission coefficient, while the rank of inhibition of each factor is the same as above. Meanwhile, the carbon intensity of the residential sector is mainly affected by per capita GDP and per capita energy consumption. Related policy suggestions are given.
Mostrar más [+] Menos [-]Decomposition of China’s regional carbon emission paths: an analysis of environmental input and output considering regional development differences [Erratum: September 2022, v.29(41), p.62560]
2022
Sun, Xueying | Ma, Xiaojun | Shi, Feng | Han, Miaomiao | Xie, Haiyang | He, Yuan
At present, the imbalance in regional development and carbon emissions are the two major challenges that China faces in terms of achieving high-quality development. This paper takes regional development differences as the starting point. First, we adopt the improved CRITIC method to measure the comprehensive development level of 30 regions in China and use K-means clustering to divide the 30 regions into five development levels. Second, the structural path analysis for environmental input–output analysis (EIOA-SPA) model is used to quantify the transfer of carbon emissions between sectors in various regions. Finally, a comprehensive analysis is performed based on the development characteristics of each region and the decomposition results of the carbon emission paths. Then, more precise carbon emission reduction strategies are proposed for the development of different regions in China. The results show that first, the development gap between regions in China has improved, and the development of the central and western regions has achieved remarkable results. However, differences between the north and the south and the gap between coastal and inland regions still exist. Second, the direct carbon emissions of regions with different levels of development are mainly derived from high energy-consuming sectors, especially the production and supply of electricity and heat sector. Third, there are certain differences in the indirect carbon emission pathways of regions with different development levels. The transportation, storage, and postal sector in high developed regions have obvious driving effects on carbon emissions. The building sector plays a prominent role in driving carbon emissions in high developed regions and medium–high developed regions. The building sector, nonmetallic mineral products sector, metal smelting sector, and rolled processed product sector in medium developed regions and medium–low developed regions have relatively high carbon emission-stimulating effects. Therefore, it is necessary to adopt differentiated emission reduction strategies for regions with different development levels in China to achieve adequate carbon emission reductions. This effort would further promote the construction of China’s ecological civilization.
Mostrar más [+] Menos [-]An environmentally extended global multi-regional input–output analysis of consumption-based and embodied import-based carbon emissions of Turkey
2022
Mangır, Nizamettin | Şahin, Ülkü Alver
Understanding the consumption-based accounting (CBA), production-based accounting (PBA), and emissions embodied in trade is an important prerequisite for designing climate mitigation policies. Environmentally extended input–output (EEIO) models have been developed to evaluate the linkages between economic activities and environmental impacts as well as the embodied emissions in goods and services that are traded between countries. In this study, an environmentally extended global multi-regional input–output (EE GMRIO) analysis is performed to calculate Turkey’s CBA emissions and import-based embodied emissions for the year 2015 using the Eora26 database, which is a simplified version of the Eora database adapted to 26 economic sectors. The key sectors and sectoral carbon intensities of countries are determined in terms of embodied emissions in imports for household consumption. Our results indicate that Turkey was a net importer of greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions in 2015 and about 10% of total emissions of the final consumption in Turkey have occurred in other countries. The dominant contributing sectors to a nation’s GHG emissions can be quite different for the CBA and PBA approaches and the efforts to reduce GHG emissions requires a holistic approach. Import-based household emissions are assessed in terms of countries, sector and GHG intensities. Our results indicate that Turkey was a net importer of GHG emissions in 2015 with its approximately 10% of the total and 7.7% of household final consumption emissions having occurred in other countries. This also suggests that imported goods and services for household consumption have been produced in those countries with relatively low emission intensities. Considering Turkey’s emissions reduction targets, these results provide methodological benefits that will enhance national efforts by giving invaluable inputs about the emission intensity of imported and exported goods and better guidance to policy makers about future strategies for low-carbon manufacturing and shifting consumption patterns.
Mostrar más [+] Menos [-]Dynamic simulation for comprehensive water resources policies to improve water-use efficiency in coastal city
2021
An, Ziyao | Yan, Jingjing | Sha, Jinghua | Ma, Yufang | Mou, Siyu
Coastal cities play an important role in regional economic development and sustainable development strategies of water resources and their ecological environment. As a typical coastal city in Hebei Province, Qinhuangdao city is facing severe problems, such as water shortages and water environment deterioration, while social and economic development continues. Based on input-output analysis, we established a dynamic optimization model among Qinhuangdao city’s socioeconomic development, water resources and water environment. The 2013–2030 simulation after introducing comprehensive water resources policies of regional development, examines the regional socioeconomic development, optimizes the water resources supply structure and improves the water environment under the optimal scenario, and evaluates policy feasibility through cost-benefit analysis (CBA). The simulation results suggest that under the optimal scenario, the water-use efficiency (WE) of Qinhuangdao is improved by 59.14% and the proportion of reclaimed water and desalinated seawater in the water supply structure is increased by 13.70%. In addition, it has achieved an average annual gross regional production (GRP) growth rate of 6.36% and an average annual chemical oxygen demand (COD) emission rate of 17.95%. Moreover, the net present value (NPV) of the projects under the optimal scenario is 1.534 billion Chinese yuan (CNY), which means that the policy is economically feasible. Our research is helpful to improve the WE, optimize the water supply structure and protect the hydrogeological environment in coastal cities with water shortages and can provide a reference for Qinhuangdao city and other similar coastal cities to realize the rational utilization of water resources and regional sustainable development.
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