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Foresight Settlement System in Scenario Planning, Improvement Regional Planning (Case Study: Isfahan Province) Texto completo
2017
Parizadi, Taher | mostafavi saheb, soran | Shah mohamadnejad, Somaye
Regional Foresight, which focuses on some of the specific land area in a given territory sub-national aims to achieve the desired future decisions, will be operational. This article examines the spatial organization of Settlement systems in Isfahan province And Presentation of the urban system in the horizon 1420. This paper tries to identify the key factors influencing the development process at the regional scale, producing both possible and probable scenarios to provide the in the next 25 years Isfahan province. This research is a combination of documentary and survey methods in terms of category and is based on new methods in the science of future studies, analytical and exploratory in terms of nature, which is conducted by a combination of qualitative and quantitative models. Structural analysis are used to analyze data by use of MICMAC software. The results indicate that the key and strategic variables of Isfahan province development in Horizon 1420 includes: the way of countrys macro management, the way of managing the province, water resources, inter-institutional cooperation, population,Research & Development, role of transnational Province, Investment security, Industrial Production and mineral, level of IT, Tourism,production technology. Based on the findings, Isfahan province in terms of arrangement space systems will face in the next 25 years with five main scenario: Radial scenario, a scenario dismissed Islands, a cluster scenario, the scenario of multi-center, network scenario. Among the scenarios planned, the network scenario we can see the functional spatial integration in the region and the development integrated and balanced space.
Mostrar más [+] Menos [-]Prediction the Most Suitable of Agricultural Zones in the Tajan Watershed Using Multi Criteria Evaluation (MCE) Approach Texto completo
2017
Rajaei, Fatemeh | Esmaili, Abbas | Salmanmahiny, Abdolrassoul | Delavar, Majid | Gholipour, Mostafa | Massah Bavani, Alireza
In recent decades almost of land use changes without taking capabilities and limitations of environmental have caused environmental problems and known forms of soil degradation and aquatic ecosystem pollution. The purpose of this investigation is determining how to mitigate the effects of future land use changes in Tajan watershed by investigating ecological potential as a strategy for natural resource conservation. Therefore, the land change modeling (LCM) was used for the analysis of possible future land useand then using Geographic Information System (GIS) and multi-criteria analysis (linear weighted combination) was determined the most sustainability of agricultural areas. The results showed that during the period from 2010 to 2040, 34 739 hectares of forest land use were declined and 27 071 and 7668 hectares of agricultural lands and pastures will increase respectively and the 3473 hectares of the most susceptible areas possible change from forest to agriculture and pasture were extracted. So expect to assessing changes land use based on the ecological potential in the future can protect Hyrcanian forests for the prevention of unprincipled changes in the coming period in this region.
Mostrar más [+] Menos [-]Integration assessment of the protected areas using landscape ecological approach (Case Study: Kolah Ghazy National Park and Wildlife Refuge) Texto completo
2017
Barati, Behzad | Jahani, Ali | Zebardast, Lobat | Rayegani, Behzad
Landscape fragmentation, due to the roads construction, urban infrastructure development and other land uses, seems to be in result of the loss of habitat in protected areas. Indeed, Landscape fragmentation causes a huge negative impact on wildlife, including important species. In result, the monitoring and management of protected areas, through the landscape ecology and quantification of fragmentation, will be so applicable. This research aims to quantify the landscape fragmentation in Kolah Ghazy national Park and wildlife refuge. To achieve this purpose, RS and GIS techniques were used to extract land uses in studied area and then landscape fragmentation was quantified using landscape metrics (CA, CAP, TE, MSI, NP, MPS and MNN) in class level. The results cleared that rich rangeland patches have been more integrated, but the incompatible land uses, such as mining, agriculture and urban infrastructure development make these patches to be more far away from each other, so, reduction of incompatible land uses is recommended in the region.
Mostrar más [+] Menos [-]Using LUCIS LUCIS Model in Land Suitability Conflict Modelling with Town and Country Planning Approach (Case Study: Kohgiluyeh and Boyer-Ahmad Province) Texto completo
2017
Omidipoor, Morteza | Neysani Samani, Najme | Tomanian, Ara | Faraji Sabokbar, Hasanali
Planners always face a set of spatial conflicts in allocation of land to a particular activity; this implies that a land may be used for two or more parallel applications. Currently in Town and Country Planning programs recognizing priorities in the land allocation process are modeled independently without considering the role of other land uses, and as potential land-use conflicts are an issue that has been ignored. The purpose of this study is to introduce and use the LUCIS model to identify land allocation priorities along with conflict modeling. To implement the model, with using the Python programming language an ArcGIS toolbox has been developed. Due to the developed system, defining inputs, weights and stakeholder priorities, land use modeling will be done automatically. Finally, priorities and also major conflicts in the study area have been identified. Results of this study show that, in addition to having the capabilities of other models in land suitability analysis, LUCIS can properly model existing conflicts. Therefore, it is recommended that a separate part under title "Identification of land suitability conflicts" be specified in the descriptive setting of Town and Country Planning programs.
Mostrar más [+] Menos [-]The interactive relationship between spatial structure and regional flows system in South Alborz Texto completo
2017
Azimi, Azadeh
Analysis and study of spatial structure and its relationship with regional flows changings is one of the most important issues in regional and country planning. In this paper we try to analyze the spatial structure of South-Alborz (that includes six provinces) based on passengers flow. In order to respond to questions and specific targets we used analytical-descriptive method. Also we used a lot of different statistical tests in ARC GIS and in order to analyze spatial organization of flows, we used another statistical test in UCINET and NET DRAW. This study is an applied and basic research and is a ex post facto. Based on findings the spatial structure of population (as a harmonious whole) has a relationship with passenger flows and these show a lot of forms and trends by time.
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