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Assessment of Shahre Rey Fragmentation Trend Using Metrics
2021
Foroutan, Sara | Shariat, Mahmoud | Kheirkhah Zarkesh, Mir Masoud | Sarvar, Rahim
Land use in Shahre Rey has experienced unprecedented growth in urban areas in recent decades. Land use changes affect social, economic, and environmental conditions. Gathering information about these changes is essential for better planning and management of urban areas in sustainable development. Consequently, the object of this paper is to better examine the Shahre Rey land use changes affected by urban development and to investigate urban landscape integrity using the 1988-2018 "Fragmentation" index. Moreover, it was intended to provide solutions for the determination of hot spots based on appropriate criteria. With the help of Landsat satellite images, four land uses – including urban landscapes, agricultural lands, green spaces, and barren lands – were extracted and the extent of land use changes was determined. In order to investigate the fragmentation of Shahre Rey landscape, the metrics of the number of patches, patch density, and the largest patch were used. Cross-Tab was also used in a part of the study. The results showed that the land use areas of urban lands and urban green space had increased by 369.7 and 55.6 hectares, respectively, while agricultural lands and barren lands had decreased by 213.8 and 211.5 hectares, respectively. In urban land use, integration had increased. In the green space and agriculture land uses, fragmentation has increased due to the creation and construction of roads. Based on the criteria of "position relative to borders and roads as well as the area and size of patches,'' solutions were made to determine the "hot spots" of vegetation and residential areas to help making plans for the improvement of their conditions. The reason is that land use change, especially the loss of vegetation, has a negative impact on the landscape.
Mostrar más [+] Menos [-]The Evaluation and Modeling of the Impacts of Urban Development on Landscape Patterns in Karaj Metropolis
2021
Mohammadyari, Fatemeh | Mirsanjari, Mir Mehrdad | Zarandian, Ardavan
The goals of the present study were to analyze changes in land cover and to estimate a future scenario for 2028 using an artificial neural network in the Karaj Metropolis. To this end, the effects of land use changes in response to urban expansion on landscape patterns were investigated in three baseline, current, and future scenarios using landscape metrics and gradient analysis. The results showed that during a 22-year period, the agricultural and Garden lands have been severely damaged due to urban expansion. The results of the evaluation of changes in landscape also indicate that urban expansion in in development in the north-south transect to the margins (especially northward) and the east-west transect with a gentle slope to the west of the region. It is also anticipated that in the future scenario, if the current trend continues, the northern margin of Karaj metropolis will be changed from natural environment to a completely human-made one. Therefore, considering the results of the Pd and Ed metrics in both transects over the three examined years, it can be said that the area has expanded to the margin and there has not been much changes in the landscape of downtown. In addition, the decrease in the Pd and NP in all three scenarios indicates the consistency of urban landscape. In general, population growth and urban development have made the landscape pattern in Karaj metropolis to be a more regular and less varied one. The results indicate that spatial heterogeneity has altered the landscape patterns. Therefore, the growth of construction land in some areas should be restricted, and balanced development should be adopted to prevent the fragmentation of the landscape.
Mostrar más [+] Menos [-]The Evaluation of Geomorphologic Landforms for the Development of Human Settlements: A Case Study of Southeast Cities of Razavi Khorasan Province
2021
Mohamadkhan, Shirin | Namjooyan, Reza | Barzkar, Mohsen | Abbasi, Mosa
The habitat development and establishment are directly related to the natural bedrock and geomorphologic complications. Due to topographical and geological conditions, the area under study has certain limitations in locating and developing human settlements. In order to reduce the hazards in the southeast of Khorasan Razavi province and modify plans for the development and establishment of human settlements, the feasibility of the area under study for residential development was investigated. After conducting library and field studies and selecting appropriate criteria, the fuzzy logic model was applied using the GIS software to identify areas for habitat development and establishment. In this study, to identify the potential areas for habitat development and establishment based on geomorphologic landforms, eleven parameters – including slope, slope direction, elevation, soil, land use, elevation, distance from fault, distance from river, distance from road, distance from settlement, and geomorphology – were used as independent variables in identifying geomorphological abilities and bottlenecks in the area. The results of zoning based on the fuzzy model showed that about 61% of the study area is located in very inappropriate and inappropriate classes, which means that geomorphological conditions in this part of the study area are unfavorable for the development and establishment of human settlements. About 14.58% of the study area has moderate conditions and about 24% of the study area shows favorable geomorphological conditions for construction activities and creation of new habitat areas. Alluvial fan units and alluvial plains are the most suitable sites for habitat development and establishment.
Mostrar más [+] Menos [-]Changes in Water Surface of Aquifers Using GRACE Satellite Data in the Google Earth Engine: A Study of the Urmia Lake Watershed From 2002 to 2017
2021
Issazadeh, Vahid | Argany, Meysam
Investigating the changes in groundwater aquifers in planning the sustainable management of water resources in each region is of particular importance. Therefore, reducing the level of groundwater aquifer changes requires proper management and planning to exploit water resources. In this study, the level of groundwater aquifer changes in Urmia Lake basin was examined for the period from 2002 to 2017 using GRACE satellite data (JPL, GFZ, CSR triple bands, CRI Filtered model, time and space filter, and Lew-Thiknth uncertainty dry product) in the Google Earth Engine. The results of the triple bands showed that the JPL band estimated the average level of groundwater aquifer changes on May 1, 2004 as 14.947 cm, while the GFZ band on estimated this as -30.558 cm on September 1, 2015 and the CSR band estimated this amount as -28.206 cm. Therefore, CRI Filtered model can very accurately identify the boundary between land and water zones. The results showed that this model estimated the maximum thickness of liquid water in the groundwater aquifer at March 31, 2002 as about 11.599 cm and its uncertainty at about 9.767 cm. It can be said that the least amount of thickness of liquid water is estimated on 13 August 2015 as 12.309 cm with an uncertainty level of 10.759 cm. According to the results, the level of groundwater change in aquifers in terms of liquid water thickness parameter (Lew-Thiknth) in the northern parts of the Urmia Lake basin and in terms of uncertainty in the northeastern part of the Urmia Lake basin is experiencing a strong decline in the aquifer water levels.
Mostrar más [+] Menos [-]The Feasibility Study of Areas Appropriate to Recreational-Sports Trekking in Dorud City
2021
Dehghani Firozabad, Leila | Mirsanjari, Mir Mehrdad | Ildoromi, Alireza | Abedian, Sahar
The identification of areas appropriate for the sustainable growth and development of touristic activities is among the main topics of tourism planning. With its positioning between a mountainous area and a plain, Dorud city enjoys topographic diversity and numerous natural attractions that need proper management and appropriate planning in order to attain the objectives of the sustainable development of tourism. Aiming at the examination of the potential of this area for recreational-sport trekking ecotourism, the study at hand set out to assess the ecologic power of this area using multi-criteria evaluation method. This study was applied-developmental in terms of purpose, and descriptive-analytical in terms of research framework. Since the identification and evaluation of tourism potentials is a multi-criteria decision-making question, five main criteria groups – including physical, ecologic, infrastructural-bodily, safety, and economic-social criteria groups – and 25 secondary criteria for the recreational-sport trekking tourism were developed. The weighted linear combination was used to integrate the criteria. Then, the final map for ecotourism activity in the region was drawn in three spaces with low, mid, and high capability. The results of the final desirability map showed that 6.9 percent of the area has high potential for recreational-sport trekking. Moreover, the results of TOPSIS revealed that Qarun and Oshtorankuh mountains are the first and second top ranking mountains for recreational-sport trekking, respectively. Overall, the results of this study demonstrate the appropriate areas for recreational-sport trekking, which can function as a guide for tourists, managers, and planners to make decisions and administer developmental policies in the light of environmental and socioeconomic approaches and considerations.
Mostrar más [+] Menos [-]The Provision of an Optimal Model for the Demarcation of the Protected Areas of Gas Transmission Operational Areas Using Spatial Allocation Method
2021
Karimi, Touraj | Faraji, Amin
One of the main challenges in the energy transmission arena (especially the natural gas transmission) in Iran is the optimal demarcation of operational boundaries in order to cover the whole land. In other words, over time and due to the changes in the consumption level and the facilities installed in the related areas, the boundaries defined as the operational areas have lost their optimal response potential, and there have appeared challenges such as more difficult access, increased volume and importance of transmission, etc. Therefore, it is necessary to define and demarcate new boundaries based on these changes. As a result, this article addressed the optimal model for the demarcation of natural gas transmission operational areas using spatial allocation method. Spatial allocation method is an instrument for maximum optimization and high access in various algorithms. The spatial allocation methods that are usually used for positioning stations and work facilities are a great instrument for planning the public services. In this study, in line with using comparative studies and external experiences, instruments such as interview (for the determination of indices), statistical tests in GIS, weighing methods, etc., were used. According to the obtained results, the number of yards and areas should be fixed, but the boundaries of the operational natural gas transmission areas and yards should be mobilized maximally to match the defined scenario so that maximum optimization is achieved.
Mostrar más [+] Menos [-]An Analysis of the Effects of the Change in Climate and Surface Soil Conditions on the Frequency of Dust Storms: The Case Study of Khorasan Razavi Province
2021
Naeimi, Maryam | Khosroshahi, Mohammad | Mir Akbari, Maryam | Gohardoost, Azadeh | Zandifar, Samira | Ensafi Moghadam, Tahereh
In recent decades, dust storms have intensified due to climate changes, including drought and human interventions. In addition to removing soil particles, dust brings storms bring about severe economic, social, and health problems. Due to its strategic conditions – including its status as an industrial and agricultural hub and the province hosting more than 29 million Iranian and international pilgrims, especially during the seasons and months with specific holidays – should be prioritized in the examination of dust storm frequency. The purpose of this study was to examine and track the frequency of dust storms and analyze the effect of climactic changes on them through the investigation of drought trend as well as the trend of changes in the land surface coverage percentage during the statistical analysis period. The results of counting the dust codes showed that dust storms with local origin had the highest frequency. According to the monthly analysis, Sarakhs and Mashhad stations had the most dust phenomena, with the most dusty days in the study area during summer and spring seasons, especially June and July months. The results of regression analysis of drought index and the monthly local dusty days indicated the existence of a significant, positive relationship between dust increase and drought intensity in Mashhad and Sarakhs stations during the statistical period of 27 years at 99 percent confidence interval. Finally, in the light of the results obtained from the examination of the land surface changes, it is recommended that land use plans be used along with short-term methods of soil stabilization in order to reduce the economic damages and preserve people’s health against dust during busy months and seasons so as to achieve the goals of long-term methods.
Mostrar más [+] Menos [-]Assessing the Ecotourism Development Capability in Rural Areas With an Emphasis on Local Risk-Taking in Decision-Making: The Case Study of Mazandaran Province
2021
Rezvani, Mohammadreza | Nickravesh, Fatemeh | Darban Astaneh, Alireza
Today, ecotourism is deemed a key industry and is granted a special position in the economic development of different countries. This industry has always faced risks in making decisions about selecting places with high ecotourism potential. Therefore, the purpose of this study was the assessment of ecotourism development capability in rural areas, with an emphasis on the environmental risk-taking in decision-making. In this study, 12 spatial criteria were used. Ordered weighted average (OWL), analytic network process (ANP), TOPSIS, and sensitivity analysis were used to assess the concept of decision-making risk, calculate the weight and importance of the criteria, rate the appropriate villages, and assess the modeling precision, respectively. The results showed that among the used criteria, the distance from the built lands and the distance from faults have the highest and lowest weight, respectively. With the increase and decrease in the risk-taking degree, the high potential class space increases and decreases, respectively, such that in the risk-taking degree of 0 or less, less than one percent and in the risk-taking degree of 1, thirty-five percent of all lands of the area fall in the “very high potential” class. The examination of the appropriate villages in the 0.5 risk-taking degree for ecotourism development showed that among all Mazandaran province villages, only 55 villages are in the “very high potential” class. Among these, Aali Kola with the relative distance of 0.8505 is the most capable village for ecotourism development. Finally, the results of sensitivity analysis revealed the adequate stability of the model results in various scenarios, i.e., the high reliability of the model results.
Mostrar más [+] Menos [-]Modeling of Ecosystem Services based on Land Cover Change and Land Use Using InVEST Software in Jahannama Conservation Area (Case: Carbon Sequestration Ecosystem Service)
2020
Fadaei, Ensiyeh | Mirsanjari, Mir Mehrdad | Amiri, Mohammad Javad
Several benefits that humans get from ecosystems are called ecosystem services. Carbon sequestration as an eco- regulation service is declining, due to the transformation and destruction of the earth used to recompense the burgeoning human needs for development. In the present study, a pilot landscape of hyrcanian forests, protected area in Jahannama was selected. By examining the land use / cover changes during 2001 to 2018, future condition of the land will be set to determine the carbon storage and carbon sequestration model in 2036. The amount of carbon in the four carbon storage sources including biomass, underground biomass, soil and organic matter along with IPCC reports facilities, field studies and sampling was extracted. Deterioration trend in forest lands and grassland with remarkable role in carbon sequestration was sharpened. The reduction trend will be predicted to reach as much as 40 per cent which will be equivalent to 400859 tons per land. With the same rate in land deterioration, a considerable decrease in ecosystem storage and carbon sequestration’ potentiality will be expected present study indicated that the integration of the concept of the ecosystem services in land planning discourse and land use management via the provision of spatial maps of ecosystem services on a regional scale, along with the rational development of human use, ecological hazards should be minimized, as a result better decision will be made in planning the land. It is also suggested that to enhance the quality of Jahannama ecosystem services in development plans and review within the protected boundaries and the principled management of land use within the protective boundaries.
Mostrar más [+] Menos [-]Analysis of Spatial and Population Distribution Inequalities of the Clients Covered in Mashhad
2020
Zanganeh Shahraki, Saeed | Hosseini, Ali | Zanganeh Shahraki, Mehdi | Ghafarizadeh, Mohammad | Fouladiyan, Majid
Spatial imbalances and spatial inequalities exist at different levels, and the realization of spatial and social justice at these levels depends on eliminating these imbalances through spatial planning. Service organizations to clients and, most importantly, the Welfare Organization, may have a lot of data and figures from their clients, but in many cases, existing data does not have a spatial dimension, and they are purely descriptive. The main objective of this research is to analyses spatially clients covered by welfare in the scale of Mashhad, in both regional and neighborhood level. The statistics required for this study are collected from the Department of Welfare of Khorasan Razavi and Mashhad. The methods used for spatial analysis are the standard deviation elliptic index, regional and neighborhood demographic density, kernel density, basic graphic statistical methods including the nearest neighbor's index, spatial autocorrelation measurement models such as general Moran I and LISA. The results of this research, presented in various maps and diagrams, show that the welfare beneficiaries in the city of Mashhad have not been distributed equally and different regions and neighborhoods have a significant difference, with the highest number of clients in regions 2, 3 and 4, the city of Mashhad where tjeay are located in the north and northeastern parts of the city. Also, at the neighborhood level, Shahid Ghorbani, Northern Tabarsi, Derevey and Bahman neighborhoods include the most welfare-clients population. In a general analysis based on the kernel density analysis, it can be stated that four condensed nuclei and a subunit formed in the city of Mashhad. Also, the results of Moran indicator and others indicate that the spatial distribution pattern of welfare clients in Mashhad is quite clustered and in particular parts of Mashhad, which mainly coincide with the informal settlements of the city and the eastern and northern parts of the city are distributed in cluster form.
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