Fuzzy Indicators of the Forecast of Environmental Safety Taking into Account the Impact of Natural and Technosphere Factors

Gordienko, Alexey; Tshovrebov, Eduard; Boravskiy, Boris; Niyazgulov, Filyuz

Fuzzy Indicators of the Forecast of Environmental Safety Taking into Account the Impact of Natural and Technosphere Factors

2023

Gordienko, Alexey | Tshovrebov, Eduard | Boravskiy, Boris | Niyazgulov, Filyuz

The emergence and uncontrolled development of environmental hazards in the processes of life in the absence of appropriate response measures in many cases leads to the emergence of man-made emergencies with dangerous consequences for public health and the environment. It is proposed to evaluate the results of complex monitoring and forecasting of these dangerous processes in a new format of creating a fuzzy scale of indicators of the level of environmental safety of life support of territories based on the theory of fuzzy sets. The study aims to develop a fuzzy scale of indicators for predicting the state of environmental protection. Protection of the population and territories from environmental threats and possible man-made emergencies. Within the framework of the purpose of the study, a fuzzy scale of threshold levels of environmental safety of territories and economic objects has been developed based on the theory of fuzzy sets and the mathematical apparatus of soft computing. The practical significance of the developments is confirmed by the successful application of the proposed scale of indicators and indicators in assessing the environmental hazard of life support systems of settlements and industrial enterprises affecting the environment.

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