Pattern-oriented modelling as a novel way to verify and validate functional-structural plant models
Wang, Ming | White, Neil | Grimm, Volker (Prof. Dr.) | Hofman, Helen | Doley, David | Thorp, Grant | Cribb, Bronwen | Wherritt, Ella | Han, Liqi | Wilkie, John | Hanan, Jim
Background and Aims Functional-structural plant (FSP) models have been widely used to understand the complex interactions between plant architecture and underlying developmental mechanisms. However, to obtain evidence that a model captures these mechanisms correctly, a clear distinction must be made between model outputs used for calibration and thus verification, and outputs used for validation. In pattern-oriented modelling (POM), multiple verification patterns are used as filters for rejecting unrealistic model structures and parameter combinations, while a second, independent set of patterns is used for validation. Key Results After calibration, our model simultaneously reproduced multiple observed architectural patterns. The model then successfully predicted, without further calibration, the validation patterns. The model supports the hypothesis that carbon allocation can be modelled as being dependent on current organ biomass and sink strength of each organ type, and also predicted the observed developmental timing of the leaf sink-source transition stage.
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