Prediction of Botrytis cinerea Risk in Vineyards Based on Weather Indicators
2020
Liliana PIRCALABU | Elena BRINDUSE | Marian ION
Botrytis cinerea causes grey mould, a major disease occurring in vineyards worldwide, resulting in loss of grape production and wine quality. Predictive models of favorability of Botrytis cinerea were used. Therefore, a series of meteorological data from 2010 to 2019 was used. The results showed that the frequency of years with low risk of Botrytis cinerea was 10%, medium risk 10%, high risk 80%. The disease can drastically reduce both yield and wine quality (Ribereau Gayon et al., 1980). The harvest years 2010, 2011, 2012, 2013 and 2014, favored the manifestation of an attack degree of 62.9% (2012) and 34.2% (2013). Positive correlations were observed in the case of Broome index and Bacchus index with the duration of sunlight (r2 = 0.935), respectively (r2 = 0.944) and the sum of the hours of moisture on the leaves (r2 = 0.833, r2 = 0.848). Based on the results a model for prediction of Botrytis cinerea risk will be developed.
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