Many regions in Africa and the Middle East are vulnerable to drought and to water and food insecurity, motivating agency efforts such as the U.S. Agency for International Development’s (USAID) Famine Early Warning Systems Network (FEWS NET) to provide early warning of drought events in the region. Each year these warnings guide life-saving assistance that reaches millions of people. A new NASA multimodel, remote sensing–based hydrological forecasting and analysis system, NHyFAS, has been developed to support such efforts by improving the FEWS NET’s current early warning capabilities. NHyFAS derives its skill from two sources: (i) accurate initial conditions, as produced by an offline land modeling system through the application and/or assimilation of various satellite data (precipitation, soil moisture, and terrestrial water storage), and (ii) meteorological forcing data during the forecast period as produced by a state-of-the-art ocean–land–atmosphere forecast system. The land modeling framework used is the Land Information System (LIS), which employs a suite of land surface models, allowing multimodel ensembles and multiple data assimilation strategies to better estimate land surface conditions. An evaluation of NHyFAS shows that its 1–5-month hindcasts successfully capture known historic drought events, and it has improved skill over benchmark-type hindcasts. The system also benefits from strong collaboration with end-user partners in Africa and the Middle East, who provide insights on strategies to formulate and communicate early warning indicators to water and food security communities. The additional lead time provided by this system will increase the speed, accuracy, and efficacy of humanitarian disaster relief, helping to save lives and livelihoods.

Sustainable use and management of nutrients is an important issue for food, energy and water systems. The close connections between the three systems, reflected by the “nexus” concept, warrant an integrated approach to nutrients management across the nexus. In this paper, dynamic modelling of nutrient flows in a local food-energy-water system is presented and applied to a simplified case study. The model was used to simulate several scenarios affecting nitrogen flows and stocks to assess the impact of a) the level of local wheat production, b) the selection of energy generation technology, and c) the management of available nutrient resources (digestate and straws). The simulation results showed that varying the proportion of locally produced wheat significantly affects the surface runoff and the nitrogen content in a local water body, with the latter increasing by nearly 70% in 50 years if about half of the wheat consumed is produced locally as opposed to being 100% imported. The introduction of anaerobic digestion as an energy generation option helps to supply more electricity, reduce the imported fertiliser, and also significantly reduce the landfilled nitrogen nutrient by up to 60 times, due to the reuse of the anaerobic digestate. On the other hand, a balanced consideration should be given between using the straw as fertiliser and as feedstock for energy generation. This work offers a first analysis of the food-energy-water nexus with a focus on nutrient flows and stocks. The modelling approach has the potential to inform holistic decision making with respect to nutrient usage, efficiency and the related environmental impact in the design of a local system for meeting the demand for food, energy and water.

Water–Energy–Food Nexus Narratives and Resource Securities: A Global South Perspective provides a knowledge synthesis on the water–energy–food (WEF) nexus, focusing primarily on the global south. By presenting concepts, analytical tools, and case studies, the book serves as a practical resource for researchers, policymakers, and practitioners in sustainability and functional roles across all three sectors. It addresses key issues related to data availability, tools, indices, metrics, and application across multiple scales, beginning with a summary of existing knowledge. Finally, it examines the WEF nexus, presents global insights, and discusses future considerations and implications. This book presents an overview of existing knowledge on the WEF nexus and examines how such research aligns with emerging global WEF nexus perspectives, making it ideal for professionals, government entities, private industry, and the general public.

The water-energy-food (WEF) nexus concept highlights the importance of integrative solutions that secure resource supplies and meet demands sustainably. There is a need for translating the nexus concept into clear frameworks and tools that can be applied to decision making. A simulation and analytics framework, and a concomitant Nexus Simulation System (NexSym) is presented here. NexSym advances the state-of-the-art in nexus tools by explicit dynamic modelling of local techno-ecological interactions relevant to WEF operations. The modular tool integrates models for ecosystems, WEF production and consumption components and allows the user to build, simulate and analyse a “flowsheet” of a local system. This enables elucidation of critical interactions and gaining knowledge and understanding that supports innovative solutions by balancing resource supply and demand and increasing synergies between components, while maintaining ecosystems. NexSym allowed assessment of the synergistic design of a local nexus system in a UK eco-town. The design improved local nutrient balance and meets 100% of electricity demand, while achieving higher carbon capture and biomass provisioning, higher water reuse and food production, however with a remarkable impact on land use.

Nine lipid-based barrier films (three chocolates, acetomonopalmitine, white beeswax, and four commercial blends: two acetoglycerides/beeswax blends, two hydrogenated and fractionated vegetable oils) were characterised using classical water-related and physical properties of edible barriers, such as water vapour permeability, moisture adsorption isotherm, moisture effective diffusivity, surface hydrophobicity, firmness and solid fat content (20 7C). Classifications based on these properties were established and compared to the barrier efficiency under real conditions of use, i.e. in a model food product (cereal-based component – intermediary aw gel). Moisture migrations were performed using self-supported barriers (300 mm) and fitted with a predictive model based on Fick’s Second Law. White beeswax and acetoglycerides enabled the best extensions of the dry-component shelf life from 2 h to between 100 and 330 h. Moisture effective diffusivity and calculated water vapour permeabilitycombined to a mechanical property evaluation of the barrier were more discriminating to assess the barrier efficiency in the model food than the moisture sorption and experimental water vapour permeability. The importance of combining both waterrelated and physical characteristics of the barrier and the advantages of an integrated approach through the simulation of the material behaviour under its real conditions of use with the model are highlighted

Introduction: The water-energy-food (WEF) nexus has evolved into an important transformative approach for facilitating the timely identification of trade-offs and synergies between interlinked sectors for informed intervention and decision-making. However, there is a growing need for a WEF nexus tool to support decision-making on integrated resources management toward sustainable development. Methods: This study developed a geospatial web-based integrative analytical tool for the WEF nexus (the iWEF) to support integrated assessment of WEF resources to support resilience building and adaptation initiatives and strategies. The tool uses the Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) to establish numerical correlations among WEF nexus indicators and pillars, mainly availability, productivity, accessibility, and sufficiency. The tool was calibrated and validated with existing tools and data at varying spatio-temporal scales. Results: The results indicate the applicability of the tool at any spatial scale, highlighting the moderate sustainability in the management of WEF resources at various scales. The developed iWEF tool has improved the existing integrative WEF nexus analytical tool in terms of processing time and providing geospatial capabilities. Discussion: The iWEF tool is a digital platform that automatically guides policy and decision-making in managing risk from trade-offs and enhancing synergies holistically. It is developed to support policy and decision-making on timely interventions in priority areas that could be showing signs of stress.

Residual resources in agriculture provide prime raw material for bioenergy production whose optimization has potential to promote agricultural economy while mitigating environmental side-effects. Food, energy, water, and land resources are intertwined in agricultural systems. Effective management of bioenergy production, considering the nexus of these resources, is needed for the sustainable development of agriculture, which is challenging because of the uncertainties involved therein. This study proposes an optimization-assessment approach (input/output relationship) for sustainable bioenergy production in agricultural systems. The approach is capable of (1) providing decision makers with the ability to determine optimal policy options among water, land, energy, and livestock, considering the tradeoff between economic and environmental impacts for bioenergy production; (2) helping decision makers identify the level of sustainability of agricultural systems and where the effort should be made for various regions; and (3) dealing with the uncertainties to provide decision alternatives. The proposed approach is applied to a case study in the particular context of northeast China, which is predominantly an agricultural region with large bioenergy potential. The changing range of bioenergy production potential, system costs, and environmental impacts were obtained, based on different schemes for the allocation of agricultural resources among different regions. Economic-environmental impact and sensitivity analyses were conducted, and agricultural system sustainability was assessed in a changing environment. Considering the complexity due to uncertainty, the proposed approach can help manage bioenergy production in agricultural systems in a sustainable way, and will be applicable for similar agriculture-centered regions.