In the era of big data, a variety of factors (particularly meteorological factors) have been applied to PM2.5 concentration prediction, revealing a clear discrepancy in timescale. To capture the complicated multi-scale relationship with PM2.5-related factors, a novel multi-factor & multi-scale method is proposed for PM2.5 forecasting. Three major steps are taken: (1) multi-factor analysis, to select predictive factors via statistical tests; (2) multi-scale analysis, to extract scale-aligned components via multivariate empirical mode decomposition; and (3) PM2.5 prediction, including individual prediction at each timescale and ensemble prediction across different timescales. The empirical study focuses on the PM2.5 of Cangzhou, which is one of the most air-polluted cities in China, and indicates that the proposed multi-factor & multi-scale learning paradigms statistically outperform their corresponding original techniques (without multi-factor and multi-scale analysis), semi-improved variants (with either multi-factor or multi-scale analysis), and similar counterparts (with other multi-scale analyses) in terms of prediction accuracy.

Accurate mapping of air pollutants is essential for epidemiological studies and environmental risk assessments. Concentrations measured by air quality monitoring stations (AQMS) have primarily been used to assess the exposure of PM₂.₅. However, the low coverage and amount of monitoring stations affect the errors of spatial interpolation or geostatistical estimates. In contrast to other integrated approaches developed for improved air pollution estimates, this study utilizes data from low-cost microsensors densely deployed in Taiwan to improve the popular spatial interpolation approach called inverse distance weighting (IDW). A large dataset from thousands of low-cost sensors could improve spatial interpolation by describing the distribution of PM₂.₅ in detail. Therefore, this study presents a clustering-based method to assess the distribution of PM₂.₅. Then, a smarter IDW is performed based on correlated observations from the selected air quality stations. The publicly available data chosen for this investigation pertained to Taiwan, which has deployed 74 monitoring stations and more than 11,000 low-cost sensors since December 2020. The results of leave-one-out cross-validation indicate that there are fewer PM₂.₅ estimation errors in the developed approach than in estimations that use kriging across almost all of the months and sampled dates of 2019 and 2020, particularly those with higher PM₂.₅ spatial heterogeneities. Spatial heterogeneities could result in more significant estimation errors in mainstream approaches. The root mean square error of the monthly average estimate for PM₂.₅ ranged from 1.17 to 3.86 μg/m³. We also found that the clustering of one month characterizing the pattern of PM₂.₅ distribution could perform well in spatial interpolations based on historical data from monitoring stations. According to the information on the openaq platform, low-cost sensors are in demand in cities and areas. This trend might pave the way for the application of the proposed approach in other areas for superior exposure assessments.

In the past few decades, extensive epidemiological studies have focused on exploring the adverse effects of PM₂.₅ (particulate matters with aerodynamic diameters less than 2.5 μm) on public health. However, most of them failed to consider the dynamic changes of population distribution adequately and were limited by the accuracy of PM₂.₅ estimations. Therefore, in this study, location-based service (LBS) data from social media and satellite-derived high-quality PM₂.₅ concentrations were collected to perform highly spatiotemporal exposure assessments for thirteen cities in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei (BTH) region, China. The city-scale exposure levels and the corresponding health outcomes were first estimated. Then the uncertainties in exposure risk assessments were quantified based on in-situ PM₂.₅ observations and static population data. The results showed that approximately half of the population living in the BTH region were exposed to monthly mean PM₂.₅ concentration greater than 80 μg/m³ in 2015, and the highest risk was observed in December. In terms of all-cause, cardiovascular, and respiratory disease, the premature deaths attributed to PM₂.₅ were estimated to be 138,150, 80,945, and 18,752, respectively. A comparative analysis between five different exposure models further illustrated that the dynamic population distribution and accurate PM₂.₅ estimations showed great influence on environmental exposure and health assessments and need be carefully considered. Otherwise, the results would be considerably over- or under-estimated.